Is a booster box of BT-04 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a BT-04 box would get you $5.76, 12% of the $47.92 it costs. A typical box gives $4.43 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
BT-04 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 44 | 168 (168–168) | 1 in 6 packs | $14.39 | 41% |
| Uncommon | 30 | 72 (72–72) | 1 in 10 packs | $6.38 | 18% |
| Rare | 26 | 38 (38–38) | 1 in 16 packs | $6.08 | 18% |
| Alternate Art | 12 | 1.1 (0.80–1.3) | 1 in 270 packs | $2.31 | 6.6% |
| SR | 12 | 8.0 (8.0–8.0) | 1 in 36 packs | $2.25 | 6.5% |
| SEC & UR alt arts | 3 | 0.27 (0.20–0.33) | 1 in 270 packs | $2.03 | 5.8% |
| SEC | 3 | 0.67 (0.50–0.83) | 1 in 108 packs | $1.33 | 3.8% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
AncientGreymon (BT4-113): 1 in 270 packs, 3.1% of the box value. $12.21
Final Zubagon Punch (BT4-109): 1 in 6 packs, 3.0% of the box value. $0.27
Blinding Ray (BT4-104): 1 in 16 packs, 2.1% of the box value. $0.49
AncientGreymon (BT4-113): 1 in 108 packs, 2.0% of the box value. $3.10
WarGreymon (BT4-048): 1 in 270 packs, 1.7% of the box value. $6.81
Kari Kamiya (BT4-097): 1 in 16 packs, 1.7% of the box value. $0.41
The most expensive BT-04 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
NeoDevimon BT4-0842022 Championship Online Regional · Online Champion | Common | $45.56 | — |
 |
DanDevimon BT4-0882021 Championship Finals Event Pack Alt-Art Gold Stamp Set | Super Rare | $40.00 | — |
 |
Missimon BT4-0052021 Championship Finals Event Pack Alt-Art Gold Stamp Set | Uncommon | $19.95 | — |
|
AncientGreymon BT4-113Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $12.21 | €14.09 |
 |
Soundbirdmon BT4-078Event Pack 2 | Uncommon | $13.51 | — |
 |
Lucemon BT4-115Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $6.71 | €11.66 |
|
WarGreymon BT4-048Alternate Art | Super Rare | $6.81 | €8.30 |
 |
AncientGarurumon BT4-114Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $3.86 | €7.63 |
 |
Atomic Inferno BT4-098Event Pack 7 | Promo | $7.77 | — |
 |
Anubismon BT4-087Event Pack 2 | Uncommon | $7.47 | — |
 |
Chaosmon BT4-0902021 Championship Online Regional · Online Finalist | Promo | $5.33 | — |
 |
DanDevimon BT4-088Event Pack 1 | Promo | $4.82 | — |
BT-04 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Great Legend Booster Box$47.92TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Great Legend Booster Pack$3.26TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
English wiki box breakdown (no stated sample): 7 commons, 3 uncommons, 1 rare and 1 rare-or-better slot per pack; per box, 168 commons, 72 uncommons, about 39 rares, 7 Super Rares, 1 alternative art and another alternative art or a Secret Rare; per 12-box case, 8 Secret Rares and 16 alternative arts. No source splits the Super Rare alternative arts from the Secret Rare ones: they are shared out by card count. Hits carry a ±25% range. Box toppers don't count. In this set, 38 rares and 8 Super Rares per box.
Pull rate sources: digimoncardgame.fandom.com (opens in a new tab) · digimoncardgame.fandom.com (opens in a new tab) · digimoncardgame.fandom.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.