Is a booster box of BT-07 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a BT-07 box would get you $27.18, 46% of the $59.20 it costs. A typical box gives $14.80 and only 13% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
BT-07 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncommon | 30 | 72 (72–72) | 1 in 10 packs | $17.35 | 30% |
| Alternate Art | 18 | 1.2 (0.89–1.5) | 1 in 365 packs | $17.20 | 30% |
| Common | 44 | 168 (168–168) | 1 in 6 packs | $12.49 | 22% |
| Rare | 26 | 35 (35–35) | 1 in 18 packs | $6.97 | 12% |
| SR | 10 | 7.0 (7.0–7.0) | 1 in 34 packs | $1.88 | 3.3% |
| SEC | 2 | 0.67 (0.50–0.83) | 1 in 72 packs | $0.83 | 1.4% |
| SEC & UR alt arts | 2 | 0.15 (0.11–0.19) | 1 in 324 packs | $0.80 | 1.4% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Koji Minamoto (BT7-087): 1 in 365 packs, 11% of the box value. $100
Takuya Kanbara (BT7-085): 1 in 365 packs, 11% of the box value. $99.99
Nidhoggmon (BT7-077): 1 in 10 packs, 11% of the box value. $2.51
Calling From the Darkness (BT7-107): 1 in 10 packs, 4.4% of the box value. $1.06
Bukamon (BT7-002): 1 in 10 packs, 2.1% of the box value. $0.51
Aldamon (BT7-014): 1 in 10 packs, 1.7% of the box value. $0.40
The most expensive BT-07 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susanoomon BT7-112Ultimate Cup 2024 | Promo | $800 | — | |
| Dorugamon BT7-0622022 Championship Offline Regional · Online Champion | Common | $200 | — | |
| Koji Minamoto BT7-087D-Scanner Alternate Art | Promo | $100 | — | |
| Takuya Kanbara BT7-085D-Scanner Alternate Art | Promo | $99.99 | — | |
| Bokomon BT7-0812022 Championship Online Regional · Online Champion | Common | $51.99 | — | |
| Aldamon BT7-0142023 Regionals Finalist | Promo | $21.78 | — | |
| Dorumon BT7-056Alternate Art | Rare | $10.04 | €14.97 | |
| Strabimon BT7-019Alternate Art | Rare | $10.46 | €10.14 | |
| EmperorGreymon BT7-016Alternate Art | Super Rare | $4.79 | €9.92 | |
| MetalGreymon BT7-013Alternate Art | Super Rare | $5.76 | €8.00 | |
| Aldamon BT7-0142023 Regionals Participant | Promo | $8.55 | — | |
| SkullKnightmon BT7-058Regulation Battle Vol. 3 Winner | Rare | $8.52 | — |
BT-07 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Next Adventure Booster Box$59.20TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Next Adventure Booster Pack$4.06TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
English wiki box breakdown (no stated sample): 7 commons, 3 uncommons, 1 rare and 1 rare-or-better slot per pack; per box, 168 commons, 72 uncommons, about 39 rares, 7 Super Rares, 1 alternative art and another alternative art or a Secret Rare; per 12-box case, 8 Secret Rares and 16 alternative arts. No source splits the Super Rare alternative arts from the Secret Rare ones: they are shared out by card count. Hits carry a ±25% range. Box toppers don't count. In this set, 35 rares per box.
Pull rate sources: digimoncardgame.fandom.com (opens in a new tab) · digimoncardgame.fandom.com (opens in a new tab) · digimoncardgame.fandom.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.