Is a booster box of DLR worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a DLR box would get you $114, 53% of the $215 it costs. A typical box gives $81.17 and only 9.8% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: low (the game's generic rates: this set has no estimates of its own).
DLR pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 36-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Special illustration | 6 | 0.42 (0.26–0.58) | 1 in 513 packs | $35.98 | 20% |
| Illustration | 14 | 3.9 (3.5–4.4) | 1 in 128 packs | $32.73 | 18% |
| Uncommon | 33 | 108 (108–108) | 1 in 11 packs | $23.69 | 13% |
| Reverse holo | 87 | 68 (67–68) | 1 in 46 packs | $23.31 | 13% |
| Common | 50 | 144 (144–144) | 1 in 13 packs | $20.02 | 11% |
| Double Rare | 10 | 7.5 (6.9–8.0) | 1 in 48 packs | $14.32 | 8.0% |
| Ultra Rare | 17 | 3.0 (2.6–3.4) | 1 in 205 packs | $13.53 | 7.6% |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 1 | 0.029 (0.000–0.065) | 1 in 1,241 packs | $10.13 | 5.7% |
| Rare | 10 | 26 (25–27) | 1 in 14 packs | $5.29 | 3.0% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Mega Rayquaza ex (DLR 138/103): 1 in 513 packs, 13% of the box value. $328
Mega Rayquaza ex (DLR 141/103): 1 in 1,241 packs, 5.7% of the box value. $349
Eevee (DLR 114/103): 1 in 128 packs, 3.2% of the box value. $20.60
Raikou ex (DLR 136/103): 1 in 513 packs, 3.2% of the box value. $81.56
Mega Rayquaza ex (DLR 084/103): 1 in 48 packs, 2.9% of the box value. $6.94
Talonflame ex (DLR 088/103): 1 in 48 packs, 2.8% of the box value. $6.69
The most expensive DLR cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mega Rayquaza ex DLR 138/103Normal | Special Illustration Rare | $328 | €424 |
|
Mega Rayquaza ex DLR 141/103Normal | Mega Hyper Rare | $349 | €260 |
|
Raikou ex DLR 136/103Normal | Special Illustration Rare | $81.56 | €95.00 |
 |
Zinnia's Trust DLR 140/103Normal | Special Illustration Rare | $38.42 | €48.71 |
 |
Mega Golurk ex DLR 137/103Normal | Special Illustration Rare | $32.05 | €30.00 |
 |
Mega Golisopod ex DLR 135/103Normal | Special Illustration Rare | $21.12 | €21.00 |
|
Eevee DLR 114/103Normal | Illustration Rare | $20.60 | €18.57 |
 |
Groudon DLR 111/103Normal | Illustration Rare | $15.56 | €15.17 |
 |
Sprigatito DLR 105/103Normal | Illustration Rare | $9.61 | €13.21 |
 |
Talonflame ex DLR 124/103Normal | Ultra Rare | $12.27 | €12.92 |
 |
Kecleon DLR 117/103Normal | Illustration Rare | $14.57 | €12.21 |
 |
Tate & Liza's Training DLR 130/103Normal | Ultra Rare | $5.26 | €10.99 |
DLR booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Delta Reign Booster Box$215TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Delta Reign Booster Pack$7.77TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Estimate: TCGplayer hasn't published a study of this set yet, which has the same layout as the main Mega Evolution sets. It uses the average of the four measured ones (Mega Evolution, Phantasmal Flames, Perfect Order and Chaos Rising), with the range of all of them: Double Rare 1 in 5 packs, Ultra Rare 1 in 12, Illustration Rare 1 in 9, Special Illustration Rare 1 in 85 and Mega Hyper Rare 1 in 1,250. Commons, uncommons, rares and reverse holos come from the pack layout (4 commons, 3 uncommons, 2 reverse holo slots and 1 rare or better).
Pull rate sources: tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab)
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