Is a booster box of ALIN worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a ALIN box would get you $45.55, 96% of the $47.55 it costs. A typical box gives $35.53 and only 34% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
ALIN pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 50 | 192 (192–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $30.72 | 37% |
| Secrets | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $22.53 | 27% |
| Ultra Rare | 14 | 4.0 (4.0–4.0) | 1 in 84 packs | $14.37 | 17% |
| Quarter Century | 25 | 0.29 (0.25–0.33) | 1 in 2,069 packs | $9.54 | 12% |
| Super Rare | 26 | 18 (18–18) | 1 in 35 packs | $5.60 | 6.8% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Dark Magician Girl the Magician's Apprentice (ALIN-EN004): 1 in 120 packs, 13% of the box value. $54.37
Maliss P March Hare (ALIN-EN023): 1 in 120 packs, 4.9% of the box value. $20.40
Witch of the White Forest (ALIN-EN058): 1 in 84 packs, 3.7% of the box value. $10.79
Snake-Eyes Vengeance Dragon (ALIN-EN040): 1 in 84 packs, 3.0% of the box value. $8.69
Dark Magician Girl the Magician's Apprentice (ALIN-EN004): 1 in 2,069 packs, 2.7% of the box value. $190
Gordian Slicer (ALIN-EN066): 1 in 120 packs, 2.5% of the box value. $10.24
The most expensive ALIN cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dark Magician Girl the Magician's Apprentice ALIN-EN0041st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $190 | — | |
| Dragon Master Lords ALIN-EN0001st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $77.61 | €79.27 | |
| Gordian Slicer ALIN-EN0661st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $62.58 | — | |
| Maliss P March Hare ALIN-EN0231st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $60.25 | — | |
| Dark Magician Girl the Magician's Apprentice ALIN-EN0041st Edition | Secret Rare | $54.37 | — | |
| Snake-Eyes Vengeance Dragon ALIN-EN0401st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $41.32 | — | |
| Witch of the White Forest ALIN-EN0581st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $38.52 | — | |
| Diabellstar Vengeance ALIN-EN0111st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $34.30 | — | |
| Backup @Ignister ALIN-EN0021st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $31.31 | — | |
| Spectral, Dragon Ruler of Flickers ALIN-EN0181st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $25.54 | — | |
| Juraishin, the Cursed Thunder God ALIN-EN0431st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $24.84 | — | |
| Songs of the Dominators ALIN-EN0781st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $24.12 | — |
ALIN booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Alliance Insight Booster Box [1st Edition]$47.55TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Alliance Insight Booster Pack [1st Edition]$1.89TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
25th-anniversary core booster (2023-2025), with Quarter Century Secret Rares. 9-card pack: 8 commons and 1 foil (a Super Rare or, in its place, an Ultra or Secret Rare), no rares. Per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average: Konami's official 2015 ratio, which the community treats as still current; Konami hasn't restated it. Quarter Century Secret: 1 in 3 or 4 boxes (TCGplayer market estimate).
Pull rate sources: yugioh-card.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
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