Is a booster box of CORE worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a CORE box would get you $48.36, 17% of the $279 it costs. A typical box gives $43.54 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
CORE pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $48.94 | 54% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $12.78 | 14% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $9.04 | 10% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $7.38 | 8.2% |
| Secrets | 8 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 1 in 185 packs | $6.81 | 7.5% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $5.51 | 6.1% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Retaliating "C" (CORE-EN045): 1 in 6 packs, 7.2% of the box value. $1.69
Chicken Game (CORE-EN067): 1 in 6 packs, 7.2% of the box value. $1.68
Red-Eyes Flare Metal Dragon (CORE-EN054): 1 in 300 packs, 6.1% of the box value. $68.90
D/D/D Marksman King Tell (CORE-EN052): 1 in 20 packs, 3.3% of the box value. $2.49
Archfiend Black Skull Dragon (CORE-EN048): 1 in 120 packs, 3.0% of the box value. $13.73
Red-Eyes Archfiend of Lightning (CORE-EN023): 1 in 70 packs, 2.4% of the box value. $6.22
The most expensive CORE cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Red-Eyes Flare Metal Dragon CORE-EN0541st Edition | Ghost Rare | $68.90 | — | |
| Red-Eyes Flare Metal Dragon CORE-EN054Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $49.42 | — | |
| Red-Eyes Flare Metal Dragon CORE-EN0541st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $33.44 | — | |
| Archfiend Black Skull Dragon CORE-EN0481st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $30.70 | — | |
| Archfiend Black Skull Dragon CORE-EN048Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $26.83 | — | |
| Red-Eyes Flare Metal Dragon CORE-EN054Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $19.37 | — | |
| Mistaken Arrest CORE-EN0651st Edition | Secret Rare | $9.66 | €13.44 | |
| Mistaken Arrest CORE-EN065Unlimited | Secret Rare | $10.61 | €13.44 | |
| Archfiend Black Skull Dragon CORE-EN0481st Edition | Ultra Rare | $13.73 | — | |
| The Black Stone of Legend CORE-EN0211st Edition | Secret Rare | $15.35 | €11.93 | |
| The Black Stone of Legend CORE-EN021Unlimited | Secret Rare | $10.15 | €11.93 | |
| Archfiend Black Skull Dragon CORE-EN048Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $9.50 | — |
CORE booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Clash of Rebellions Booster Box$279Cardmarket, converted to dollars
Booster pack Clash of Rebellions Booster Pack$8.99TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
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