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Yu-Gi-Oh! · Core boosters

CORE Clash of Rebellions

Released 7 August 2015 · 217 cards · 24 packs per box

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Clash of Rebellions Booster Box

Is a booster box of CORE worth opening?

Box price$279Cardmarket, converted to dollars
Expected value$90.46$89.94 to $92.04 depending on the rates
If you sell the cards$48.36With a 5% fee and leaving out cards under $0.50
A typical box$43.54The median of 10,000 simulated boxes
You get your money back0.0%Almost never

On average, no: selling the cards from a CORE box would get you $48.36, 17% of the $279 it costs. A typical box gives $43.54 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.

How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).

CORE pull rates

How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.

RarityCardsPer boxOne specificAddsShare
Common 48 186 (184–192) 1 in 6 packs $48.94 54%
Rare 20 24 (24–24) 1 in 20 packs $12.78 14%
Super Rare 14 4.8 (4.8–4.8) 1 in 70 packs $9.04 10%
Ultra Rare 10 2.0 (2.0–2.0) 1 in 120 packs $7.38 8.2%
Secrets 8 1.0 (1.0–1.0) 1 in 185 packs $6.81 7.5%
Ghost 1 0.080 (0.080–0.080) 1 in 300 packs $5.51 6.1%

The cards that carry the box

What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.

The most expensive CORE cards

Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.

CardRarityTCGplayerCardmarket
Red-Eyes Flare Metal Dragon CORE-EN0541st Edition Ghost Rare $68.90 —
Red-Eyes Flare Metal Dragon CORE-EN054Unlimited Ghost Rare $49.42 —
Red-Eyes Flare Metal Dragon CORE-EN0541st Edition Ultimate Rare $33.44 —
Archfiend Black Skull Dragon CORE-EN0481st Edition Ultimate Rare $30.70 —
Archfiend Black Skull Dragon CORE-EN048Unlimited Ultimate Rare $26.83 —
Red-Eyes Flare Metal Dragon CORE-EN054Unlimited Ultimate Rare $19.37 —
Mistaken Arrest CORE-EN0651st Edition Secret Rare $9.66 €13.44
Mistaken Arrest CORE-EN065Unlimited Secret Rare $10.61 €13.44
Archfiend Black Skull Dragon CORE-EN0481st Edition Ultra Rare $13.73 —
The Black Stone of Legend CORE-EN0211st Edition Secret Rare $15.35 €11.93
The Black Stone of Legend CORE-EN021Unlimited Secret Rare $10.15 €11.93
Archfiend Black Skull Dragon CORE-EN048Unlimited Ultra Rare $9.50 —

CORE booster box price over the last year

Loading the price history…

TCGplayer market price, in dollars.

Sealed product

Where the numbers come from

The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.

2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.

Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)

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Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.

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