Is a booster box of CRMS worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a CRMS box would get you $161, 22% of the $725 it costs. A typical box gives $152 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
CRMS pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $109 | 55% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $29.77 | 15% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $28.26 | 14% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $23.65 | 12% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $8.29 | 4.2% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Blackwing - Sirocco the Dawn (CRMS-EN010): 1 in 6 packs, 8.5% of the box value. $4.35
Flip Flop Frog (CRMS-EN029): 1 in 6 packs, 8.3% of the box value. $4.26
Cosmic Fortress Gol'Gar (CRMS-EN044): 1 in 120 packs, 5.0% of the box value. $49.95
Telekinetic Power Well (CRMS-EN055): 1 in 6 packs, 4.8% of the box value. $2.44
Dupe Frog (CRMS-EN028): 1 in 6 packs, 4.4% of the box value. $2.26
Red Dragon Archfiend/Assault Mode (CRMS-EN004): 1 in 300 packs, 4.2% of the box value. $104
The most expensive CRMS cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Blackwing Armor Master CRMS-EN0411st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $199 | — |
|
Blackwing Armor Master CRMS-EN041Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $197 | — |
|
Red Dragon Archfiend/Assault Mode CRMS-EN0041st Edition | Ghost Rare | $104 | — |
|
Red Dragon Archfiend/Assault Mode CRMS-EN004Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $54.95 | — |
|
Cosmic Fortress Gol'Gar CRMS-EN0441st Edition | Ultra Rare | $49.95 | — |
 |
Cosmic Fortress Gol'Gar CRMS-EN0441st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $45.89 | — |
 |
Red Dragon Archfiend/Assault Mode CRMS-EN004Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $38.64 | — |
|
Cosmic Fortress Gol'Gar CRMS-EN044Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $37.55 | — |
 |
Violet Witch CRMS-EN0971st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $34.99 | — |
 |
Hyper Psychic Blaster CRMS-EN0421st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $33.37 | — |
|
Cosmic Fortress Gol'Gar CRMS-EN044Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $32.46 | — |
|
Red Dragon Archfiend/Assault Mode CRMS-EN0041st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $32.40 | — |
CRMS booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Crimson Crisis - Booster Box$725Cardmarket, converted to dollars
Booster pack Crimson Crisis - Booster Pack$35.00TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2007-2010 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12 and Ghost 1 in 288. The Secret Rare (often quoted as 1 in 31, unsourced) and Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.