Is a booster box of CROS worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a CROS box would get you $30.22, 50% of the $59.99 it costs. A typical box gives $25.38 and only 8.3% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
CROS pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $39.06 | 57% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $8.32 | 12% |
| Secrets | 8 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 1 in 185 packs | $7.29 | 11% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $6.78 | 9.9% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $4.03 | 5.9% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $2.81 | 4.1% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Statue of Anguish Pattern (CROS-EN078): 1 in 6 packs, 9.0% of the box value. $1.58
Clear Wing Synchro Dragon (CROS-EN046): 1 in 300 packs, 5.9% of the box value. $50.37
Soprano the Melodious Songstress (CROS-EN010): 1 in 6 packs, 4.7% of the box value. $0.83
Ghost Ogre & Snow Rabbit (CROS-EN033): 1 in 185 packs, 4.5% of the box value. $23.87
Moon Mirror Shield (CROS-EN081): 1 in 20 packs, 3.5% of the box value. $1.97
Harpie Harpist (CROS-EN099): 1 in 70 packs, 3.2% of the box value. $6.47
The most expensive CROS cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Clear Wing Synchro Dragon CROS-EN0461st Edition | Ghost Rare | $50.37 | — |
|
Clear Wing Synchro Dragon CROS-EN046Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $33.65 | — |
 |
Clear Wing Synchro Dragon CROS-EN0461st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $19.10 | — |
|
Ghost Ogre & Snow Rabbit CROS-EN0331st Edition | Secret Rare | $23.87 | €16.92 |
|
Ghost Ogre & Snow Rabbit CROS-EN033Unlimited | Secret Rare | $14.26 | €16.92 |
 |
El Shaddoll Anoyatyllis CROS-EN0441st Edition | Secret Rare | $11.99 | €12.90 |
|
El Shaddoll Anoyatyllis CROS-EN044Unlimited | Secret Rare | $9.84 | €12.90 |
|
Clear Wing Synchro Dragon CROS-EN046Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $13.69 | — |
 |
Tellarknight Ptolemaeus CROS-EN0501st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $11.16 | — |
|
Tellarknight Ptolemaeus CROS-EN050Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $9.88 | — |
 |
Nekroz of Sophia CROS-EN0381st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $9.79 | — |
|
Nekroz of Sophia CROS-EN038Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $7.91 | — |
CROS booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Crossed Souls Booster Box$59.99TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Crossed Souls Booster Pack$3.30TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.