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Yu-Gi-Oh! · Core boosters

DANE Dark Neostorm

Released 3 May 2019 · 205 cards · 24 packs per box

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Dark Neostorm - Booster Box [1st Edition]

Is a booster box of DANE worth opening?

Box price$62.20TCGplayer market price
Expected value$65.35
If you sell the cards$20.25With a 5% fee and leaving out cards under $0.50
A typical box$19.95The median of 10,000 simulated boxes
You get your money back0.0%Almost never

On average, no: selling the cards from a DANE box would get you $20.25, 33% of the $62.20 it costs. A typical box gives $19.95 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.

How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).

DANE pull rates

How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.

RarityCardsPer boxOne specificAddsShare
Common 48 168 (168–168) 1 in 7 packs $36.50 56%
Rare 20 24 (24–24) 1 in 20 packs $12.67 19%
Super Rare 14 18 (18–18) 1 in 19 packs $9.01 14%
Secrets 8 2.0 (2.0–2.0) 1 in 96 packs $4.15 6.3%
Ultra Rare 10 4.0 (4.0–4.0) 1 in 60 packs $3.01 4.6%

The cards that carry the box

What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.

The most expensive DANE cards

Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.

CardRarityTCGplayerCardmarket
Number 5: Doom Chimera Dragon DANE-EN0921st Edition Super Rare $0.53 €3.69
Number 5: Doom Chimera Dragon DANE-EN092Unlimited Super Rare $0.37 €3.69
Shooting Riser Dragon DANE-ENSE3Limited Edition Super Rare $2.63 €3.64
Filo, Messenger Fur Hire DANE-EN0151st Edition Rare $2.13 €3.14
Filo, Messenger Fur Hire DANE-EN015Unlimited Rare $1.82 €3.14
Gnomaterial DANE-EN0001st Edition Secret Rare $3.83 €1.82
Gnomaterial DANE-EN000Unlimited Secret Rare $2.41 €1.82
World Legacy Monstrosity DANE-EN0591st Edition Ultra Rare $0.79 €1.73
World Legacy Monstrosity DANE-EN059Unlimited Ultra Rare $0.51 €1.73
Ghost Sister & Spooky Dogwood DANE-EN0251st Edition Secret Rare $2.18 €1.61
Ghost Sister & Spooky Dogwood DANE-EN025Unlimited Secret Rare $1.36 €1.61
Cynet Mining DANE-EN0511st Edition Secret Rare $1.66 €1.24

DANE booster box price over the last year

Loading the price history…

TCGplayer market price, in dollars.

Sealed product

Where the numbers come from

The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.

2016-2020 core booster: 7 commons, 1 rare and 1 foil per pack; per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average (Konami, 2015). Starlight Rares (Rising Rampage, Chaos Impact and Ignition Assault) have no published rate: they don't count. The catalog lumps 1st Edition and Unlimited cards together.

Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab)

Open it in the Kolekto Market

Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.

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