Is a booster box of DANE worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a DANE box would get you $20.25, 33% of the $62.20 it costs. A typical box gives $19.95 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
DANE pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 168 (168–168) | 1 in 7 packs | $36.50 | 56% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $12.67 | 19% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 18 (18–18) | 1 in 19 packs | $9.01 | 14% |
| Secrets | 8 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 96 packs | $4.15 | 6.3% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 4.0 (4.0–4.0) | 1 in 60 packs | $3.01 | 4.6% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Super Quantum White Layer (DANE-EN013): 1 in 20 packs, 4.8% of the box value. $2.61
Fusion Destiny (DANE-EN054): 1 in 19 packs, 4.0% of the box value. $2.03
Filo, Messenger Fur Hire (DANE-EN015): 1 in 20 packs, 3.9% of the box value. $2.13
Assault Sentinel (DANE-EN011): 1 in 7 packs, 2.8% of the box value. $0.53
Dillingerous Dragon (DANE-EN041): 1 in 7 packs, 2.2% of the box value. $0.42
Firewall Guardian (DANE-EN001): 1 in 7 packs, 2.1% of the box value. $0.40
The most expensive DANE cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number 5: Doom Chimera Dragon DANE-EN0921st Edition | Super Rare | $0.53 | €3.69 | |
| Number 5: Doom Chimera Dragon DANE-EN092Unlimited | Super Rare | $0.37 | €3.69 | |
| Shooting Riser Dragon DANE-ENSE3Limited Edition | Super Rare | $2.63 | €3.64 | |
| Filo, Messenger Fur Hire DANE-EN0151st Edition | Rare | $2.13 | €3.14 | |
| Filo, Messenger Fur Hire DANE-EN015Unlimited | Rare | $1.82 | €3.14 | |
| Gnomaterial DANE-EN0001st Edition | Secret Rare | $3.83 | €1.82 | |
| Gnomaterial DANE-EN000Unlimited | Secret Rare | $2.41 | €1.82 | |
| World Legacy Monstrosity DANE-EN0591st Edition | Ultra Rare | $0.79 | €1.73 | |
| World Legacy Monstrosity DANE-EN059Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $0.51 | €1.73 | |
| Ghost Sister & Spooky Dogwood DANE-EN0251st Edition | Secret Rare | $2.18 | €1.61 | |
| Ghost Sister & Spooky Dogwood DANE-EN025Unlimited | Secret Rare | $1.36 | €1.61 | |
| Cynet Mining DANE-EN0511st Edition | Secret Rare | $1.66 | €1.24 |
DANE booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Dark Neostorm - Booster Box [1st Edition]$62.20TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Dark Neostorm - Booster Pack [1st Edition]$2.92TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2016-2020 core booster: 7 commons, 1 rare and 1 foil per pack; per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average (Konami, 2015). Starlight Rares (Rising Rampage, Chaos Impact and Ignition Assault) have no published rate: they don't count. The catalog lumps 1st Edition and Unlimited cards together.
Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.