Is a booster box of DUEA worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a DUEA box would get you $36.34, 22% of the $163 it costs. A typical box gives $32.05 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
DUEA pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $49.06 | 62% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $10.01 | 13% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $8.00 | 10% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $4.84 | 6.1% |
| Secrets | 8 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 1 in 185 packs | $4.57 | 5.8% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $2.90 | 3.7% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Stellarnova Alpha (DUEA-EN071): 1 in 120 packs, 4.6% of the box value. $18.32
Sonata the Melodious Diva (DUEA-EN015): 1 in 6 packs, 4.1% of the box value. $0.83
That Six (DUEA-EN080): 1 in 6 packs, 3.9% of the box value. $0.80
Stellarknight Delteros (DUEA-EN053): 1 in 300 packs, 3.7% of the box value. $36.30
Pilgrim Reaper (DUEA-EN099): 1 in 6 packs, 2.9% of the box value. $0.60
Wightprince (DUEA-EN047): 1 in 6 packs, 2.5% of the box value. $0.52
The most expensive DUEA cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
El Shaddoll Construct DUEA-EN0491st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $53.25 | — |
|
Stellarknight Delteros DUEA-EN0531st Edition | Ghost Rare | $36.30 | — |
|
El Shaddoll Construct DUEA-EN049Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $30.96 | — |
|
Stellarnova Alpha DUEA-EN0711st Edition | Ultra Rare | $18.32 | — |
|
Stellarknight Delteros DUEA-EN053Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $17.90 | — |
 |
Baxia, Brightness of the Yang Zing DUEA-EN0511st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $9.70 | — |
 |
Saffira, Queen of Dragons DUEA-EN0501st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $9.65 | — |
 |
Stellarknight Delteros DUEA-EN0531st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $9.44 | — |
 |
Magical Spring DUEA-EN0651st Edition | Secret Rare | $14.29 | €7.53 |
|
Magical Spring DUEA-EN065Unlimited | Secret Rare | $11.28 | €7.53 |
|
Baxia, Brightness of the Yang Zing DUEA-EN051Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $7.03 | — |
|
Stellarknight Delteros DUEA-EN053Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $6.44 | — |
DUEA booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Duelist Alliance Booster Box$163Cardmarket, converted to dollars
Booster pack Duelist Alliance Booster Pack$3.99TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
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