Is a booster box of DUNE worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a DUNE box would get you $25.60, 64% of the $40.15 it costs. A typical box gives $20.05 and only 14% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
DUNE pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 49 | 192 (192–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $25.27 | 45% |
| Super Rare | 26 | 18 (18–18) | 1 in 35 packs | $8.32 | 15% |
| Secrets | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $8.31 | 15% |
| Quarter Century | 25 | 0.29 (0.25–0.33) | 1 in 2,069 packs | $8.02 | 14% |
| Ultra Rare | 14 | 4.0 (4.0–4.0) | 1 in 84 packs | $6.03 | 11% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Unchained Soul Lord of Yama (DUNE-EN049): 1 in 84 packs, 5.7% of the box value. $11.24
Gazelle the King of Mythical Claws (DUNE-EN003): 1 in 35 packs, 3.6% of the box value. $2.93
Evolzar Lars (DUNE-EN043): 1 in 120 packs, 2.8% of the box value. $7.88
Dark Corridor (DUNE-EN059): 1 in 120 packs, 2.7% of the box value. $7.69
Crimson Dragon (DUNE-EN038): 1 in 2,069 packs, 1.9% of the box value. $91.66
Visas Amritara (DUNE-EN039): 1 in 120 packs, 1.9% of the box value. $5.22
The most expensive DUNE cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crimson Dragon DUNE-EN0381st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $91.66 | — | |
| Unchained Soul Lord of Yama DUNE-EN0491st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $58.51 | — | |
| Visas Amritara DUNE-EN0391st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $55.89 | — | |
| Magicians of Bonds and Unity DUNE-EN0001st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $63.87 | €40.88 | |
| Chimera the King of Phantom Beasts DUNE-EN0331st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $42.75 | — | |
| Cosmic Quasar Dragon DUNE-EN0371st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $38.64 | — | |
| Revolution Synchron DUNE-EN0021st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $35.98 | — | |
| Evolzar Lars DUNE-EN0431st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $33.39 | — | |
| Sinful Spoils of Subversion - Snake-Eye DUNE-EN0601st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $31.87 | — | |
| Hiita the Fire Channeler DUNE-EN0261st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $26.55 | — | |
| Dark Corridor DUNE-EN0591st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $22.22 | — | |
| Tokusano Shinkyojin DUNE-EN0641st Edition | Quarter Century Secret Rare | $21.38 | — |
DUNE booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Duelist Nexus Booster Box [1st Edition]$40.15TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Duelist Nexus Booster Pack [1st Edition]$1.89TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
25th-anniversary core booster (2023-2025), with Quarter Century Secret Rares. 9-card pack: 8 commons and 1 foil (a Super Rare or, in its place, an Ultra or Secret Rare), no rares. Per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average: Konami's official 2015 ratio, which the community treats as still current; Konami hasn't restated it. Quarter Century Secret: 1 in 3 or 4 boxes (TCGplayer market estimate).
Pull rate sources: yugioh-card.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.