Is a booster box of DUOV worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a DUOV box would get you $19.76, 58% of the $33.88 it costs. A typical box gives $19.17 and only 3.2% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
DUOV pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 6-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ultra Rare | 100 | 30 (30–30) | 1 in 20 packs | $26.10 | 100% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Xtra HERO Infernal Devicer (DUOV-EN013): 1 in 20 packs, 9.2% of the box value. $8.00
Relinquished Anima (DUOV-EN053): 1 in 20 packs, 7.5% of the box value. $6.55
Sky Striker Ace - Kagari (DUOV-EN060): 1 in 20 packs, 4.6% of the box value. $3.97
Mystical Space Typhoon (DUOV-EN086): 1 in 20 packs, 4.1% of the box value. $3.61
Condemned Darklord (DUOV-EN006): 1 in 20 packs, 3.7% of the box value. $3.24
Madolche Puddingcess Chocolat-a-la-Mode (DUOV-EN082): 1 in 20 packs, 3.2% of the box value. $2.80
The most expensive DUOV cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dark Magician Girl Oversized · Unlimited | Common | $9.44 | — | |
| Xtra HERO Infernal Devicer DUOV-EN0131st Edition | Ultra Rare | $8.00 | — | |
| Relinquished Anima DUOV-EN0531st Edition | Ultra Rare | $6.55 | €5.21 | |
| Sky Striker Ace - Kagari DUOV-EN0601st Edition | Ultra Rare | $3.97 | €5.17 | |
| Blue-Eyes White Dragon Oversized · Unlimited | Common | $5.29 | — | |
| Cyber Dragon Infinity Oversized · Unlimited | Common | $3.39 | — | |
| Madolche Puddingcess Chocolat-a-la-Mode DUOV-EN0821st Edition | Ultra Rare | $2.80 | €2.48 | |
| Condemned Darklord DUOV-EN0061st Edition | Ultra Rare | $3.24 | €2.28 | |
| Cyber Emergency DUOV-EN0921st Edition | Ultra Rare | $1.60 | €1.92 | |
| Predaplant Verte Anaconda DUOV-EN0211st Edition | Ultra Rare | $2.27 | €1.88 | |
| Tour Guide From the Underworld Oversized · Unlimited | Common | $1.99 | — | |
| Tour Guide From the Underworld DUOV-EN0571st Edition | Ultra Rare | $1.59 | — |
DUOV booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Duel Overload Box$33.88TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Duel Overload Booster Pack [1st Edition]$12.00TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Duel Overload: 6 packs of 5 Ultra Rares per box (fixed contents, Konami).
Pull rate sources: yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.