Is a booster box of LIOV worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a LIOV box would get you $14.94, 36% of the $41.58 it costs. A typical box gives $9.78 and only 4.1% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
LIOV pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 50 | 192 (192–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $30.18 | 60% |
| Super Rare | 26 | 18 (18–18) | 1 in 35 packs | $6.42 | 13% |
| Starlight | 5 | 0.060 (0.042–0.083) | 1 in 2,000 packs | $5.53 | 11% |
| Ultra Rare | 14 | 4.0 (4.0–4.0) | 1 in 84 packs | $4.97 | 9.8% |
| Secrets | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $3.62 | 7.1% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Black Rose Dragon (LIOV-EN100): 1 in 2,000 packs, 6.8% of the box value. $289
Springans Merrymaker (LIOV-EN041): 1 in 35 packs, 3.0% of the box value. $2.18
Dogmatikalamity (LIOV-EN053): 1 in 6 packs, 2.8% of the box value. $0.37
Boo-Boo Game (LIOV-EN079): 1 in 6 packs, 2.5% of the box value. $0.33
Live Twin Ki-sikil Frost (LIOV-EN017): 1 in 2,000 packs, 1.9% of the box value. $81.67
ZW - Pegasus Twin Saber (LIOV-EN001): 1 in 6 packs, 1.9% of the box value. $0.25
The most expensive LIOV cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Black Rose Dragon LIOV-EN1001st Edition | Starlight Rare | $289 | — | |
| Live Twin Ki-sikil Frost LIOV-EN0171st Edition | Starlight Rare | $81.67 | — | |
| Lyna the Light Charmer, Lustrous LIOV-EN0491st Edition | Starlight Rare | $45.34 | — | |
| Book of Lunar Eclipse LIOV-EN0641st Edition | Starlight Rare | $32.95 | — | |
| Bahalutiya, the Grand Radiance LIOV-EN0231st Edition | Starlight Rare | $11.95 | — | |
| Amazing Time Ticket LIOV-ENSP1LIOV-ENSP1 · Limited Edition | Ultra Rare | $8.52 | — | |
| Springans Merrymaker LIOV-EN0411st Edition | Super Rare | $2.18 | €3.92 | |
| Live Twin Ki-sikil Frost LIOV-EN0171st Edition | Ultra Rare | $3.21 | — | |
| Ruddy Rose Dragon LIOV-EN0351st Edition | Secret Rare | $3.29 | €2.58 | |
| Benghalancer the Resurgent LIOV-EN0481st Edition | Secret Rare | $2.78 | — | |
| Book of Lunar Eclipse LIOV-EN0641st Edition | Secret Rare | $2.58 | — | |
| Amazement Administrator Arlekino LIOV-EN0061st Edition | Secret Rare | $1.61 | €1.96 |
LIOV booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Lightning Overdrive Booster Box [1st Edition]$41.58TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Lightning Overdrive Booster Pack [1st Edition]$3.72TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2020-2023 core booster (from Eternity Code). 9-card pack: 8 commons and 1 foil (a Super Rare or, in its place, an Ultra or Secret Rare), no rares. Per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average: Konami's official 2015 ratio, which the community treats as still current; Konami hasn't restated it. Starlight: between 1 per 12-box case and 1 per 2 cases (TCGplayer market articles).
Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab)
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