Is a booster box of NECH worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a NECH box would get you $29.97, 31% of the $96.04 it costs. A typical box gives $24.45 and only 4.2% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
NECH pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $44.29 | 60% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $9.40 | 13% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $6.07 | 8.2% |
| Secrets | 8 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 1 in 185 packs | $5.50 | 7.5% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $5.20 | 7.1% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $3.35 | 4.5% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Cursed Bamboo Sword (NECH-EN068): 1 in 6 packs, 8.3% of the box value. $1.59
Dark Rebellion Xyz Dragon (NECH-EN053): 1 in 300 packs, 8.2% of the box value. $75.91
Fluffal Bear (NECH-EN016): 1 in 6 packs, 3.5% of the box value. $0.66
SZW - Fenrir Sword (NECH-EN091): 1 in 6 packs, 2.3% of the box value. $0.44
Ms. Judge (NECH-EN043): 1 in 6 packs, 2.0% of the box value. $0.39
Fluffal Dog (NECH-EN017): 1 in 20 packs, 1.9% of the box value. $1.15
The most expensive NECH cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Dark Rebellion Xyz Dragon NECH-EN0531st Edition | Ghost Rare | $75.91 | — |
|
Dark Rebellion Xyz Dragon NECH-EN053Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $52.79 | — |
 |
El Shaddoll Shekhinaga NECH-EN0491st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $22.46 | — |
 |
Dark Rebellion Xyz Dragon NECH-EN0531st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $18.98 | — |
|
El Shaddoll Shekhinaga NECH-EN049Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $18.61 | — |
|
Dark Rebellion Xyz Dragon NECH-EN053Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $17.04 | — |
 |
Number 99: Utopic Dragon NECH-EN0991st Edition | Secret Rare | $10.16 | €13.83 |
|
Number 99: Utopic Dragon NECH-EN099Unlimited | Secret Rare | $8.02 | €13.83 |
 |
Stellarknight Triverr NECH-EN0541st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $9.91 | — |
|
Stellarknight Triverr NECH-EN054Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $9.31 | — |
 |
Yazi, Evil of the Yang Zing NECH-EN0511st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $8.43 | — |
 |
Solemn Scolding NECH-EN0791st Edition | Secret Rare | $6.19 | €6.12 |
NECH booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box The New Challengers Booster Box$96.04TCGplayer market price
Booster pack The New Challengers Booster Pack$3.49TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
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