Is a booster box of PHSW worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a PHSW box would get you $53.25, 7% of the $763 it costs. A typical box gives $45.18 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
PHSW pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $53.32 | 52% |
| Secrets | 8 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 1 in 185 packs | $16.38 | 16% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $13.33 | 13% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $10.56 | 10% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $5.43 | 5.3% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $3.84 | 3.7% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Galaxy-Eyes Photon Dragon (PHSW-EN011): 1 in 300 packs, 10% of the box value. $132
One Day of Peace (PHSW-EN060): 1 in 6 packs, 6.6% of the box value. $1.74
Tyrant's Throes (PHSW-EN076): 1 in 20 packs, 5.3% of the box value. $4.55
Rescue Rabbit (PHSW-EN037): 1 in 185 packs, 3.9% of the box value. $31.19
Wind-Up Rabbit (PHSW-EN083): 1 in 185 packs, 3.1% of the box value. $24.40
Wattcobra (PHSW-EN028): 1 in 6 packs, 2.9% of the box value. $0.78
The most expensive PHSW cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Galaxy-Eyes Photon Dragon PHSW-EN0111st Edition | Ghost Rare | $132 | — |
|
Galaxy-Eyes Photon Dragon PHSW-EN011Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $73.76 | — |
 |
Galaxy-Eyes Photon Dragon PHSW-EN0111st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $45.59 | — |
|
Rescue Rabbit PHSW-EN0371st Edition | Secret Rare | $31.19 | — |
 |
Evolzar Laggia PHSW-EN0431st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $28.76 | — |
|
Wind-Up Rabbit PHSW-EN0831st Edition | Secret Rare | $24.40 | — |
 |
Evolzar Dolkka PHSW-EN0861st Edition | Secret Rare | $22.24 | — |
|
Evolzar Laggia PHSW-EN043Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $19.76 | — |
|
Galaxy-Eyes Photon Dragon PHSW-EN011Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $14.06 | — |
 |
Wind-Up Zenmaines PHSW-EN0871st Edition | Secret Rare | $23.02 | €10.65 |
|
Wind-Up Zenmaines PHSW-EN087Unlimited | Secret Rare | $9.64 | €10.65 |
|
Rescue Rabbit PHSW-EN037Unlimited | Secret Rare | $11.46 | €9.49 |
PHSW booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Photon Shockwave - Booster Box$763Cardmarket, converted to dollars
Booster pack Photon Shockwave - Booster Pack$7.20TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.
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