Is a booster box of RATE worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a RATE box would get you $28.17, 38% of the $74.70 it costs. A typical box gives $26.91 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
RATE pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 168 (168–168) | 1 in 7 packs | $37.83 | 49% |
| Secrets | 8 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 96 packs | $11.75 | 15% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $10.93 | 14% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 18 (18–18) | 1 in 19 packs | $10.49 | 14% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 4.0 (4.0–4.0) | 1 in 60 packs | $5.84 | 7.6% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Brave-Eyes Pendulum Dragon (RATE-EN039): 1 in 96 packs, 5.2% of the box value. $16.00
Foolish Burial Goods (RATE-EN065): 1 in 96 packs, 5.0% of the box value. $15.51
Crystron Sulfefnir (RATE-EN021): 1 in 19 packs, 2.9% of the box value. $1.72
Chaos Ancient Gear Giant (RATE-EN041): 1 in 19 packs, 2.6% of the box value. $1.53
Windwitch - Glass Bell (RATE-EN098): 1 in 60 packs, 2.3% of the box value. $4.34
Super Soldier Synthesis (RATE-EN062): 1 in 7 packs, 2.2% of the box value. $0.49
The most expensive RATE cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Sea Monster of Theseus RATE-EN081Unlimited | Secret Rare | $19.87 | — |
|
Brave-Eyes Pendulum Dragon RATE-EN0391st Edition | Secret Rare | $16.00 | €17.62 |
|
Brave-Eyes Pendulum Dragon RATE-EN039Unlimited | Secret Rare | $13.68 | €17.62 |
|
Foolish Burial Goods RATE-EN0651st Edition | Secret Rare | $15.51 | €6.57 |
|
Foolish Burial Goods RATE-EN065Unlimited | Secret Rare | $7.89 | €6.57 |
|
Sea Monster of Theseus RATE-EN0811st Edition | Secret Rare | $5.61 | — |
 |
Zoodiac Broadbull RATE-EN0511st Edition | Secret Rare | $2.75 | €3.09 |
|
Zoodiac Broadbull RATE-EN051Unlimited | Secret Rare | $2.84 | €3.09 |
 |
Zoodiac Thoroughblade RATE-EN0171st Edition | Ultra Rare | $1.88 | €2.74 |
|
Zoodiac Thoroughblade RATE-EN017Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $1.55 | €2.74 |
|
Windwitch - Glass Bell RATE-EN0981st Edition | Ultra Rare | $4.34 | €2.52 |
|
Windwitch - Glass Bell RATE-EN098Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $3.08 | €2.52 |
RATE booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Raging Tempest Booster Box$74.70TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Raging Tempest Booster Pack$4.48TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2016-2020 core booster: 7 commons, 1 rare and 1 foil per pack; per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average (Konami, 2015). Starlight Rares (Rising Rampage, Chaos Impact and Ignition Assault) have no published rate: they don't count. The catalog lumps 1st Edition and Unlimited cards together.
Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.