Is a booster box of REDU worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a REDU box would get you $62.01, 53% of the $117 it costs. A typical box gives $59.12 and only 2.9% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
REDU pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $40.34 | 38% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $28.01 | 26% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $14.51 | 14% |
| Secrets | 8 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 1 in 185 packs | $13.82 | 13% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $7.00 | 6.5% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $3.30 | 3.1% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Temperance of Prophecy (REDU-EN017): 1 in 70 packs, 8.2% of the box value. $25.51
Alchemic Magician (REDU-EN047): 1 in 70 packs, 7.7% of the box value. $24.14
High Priestess of Prophecy (REDU-EN020): 1 in 185 packs, 5.3% of the box value. $43.27
Soul Drain (REDU-EN078): 1 in 20 packs, 4.1% of the box value. $3.64
Spellbook of Life (REDU-EN059): 1 in 70 packs, 3.3% of the box value. $10.21
Heroic Champion - Excalibur (REDU-EN041): 1 in 300 packs, 3.1% of the box value. $41.21
The most expensive REDU cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Spellbook of Secrets REDU-EN0571st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $61.64 | — |
|
High Priestess of Prophecy REDU-EN0201st Edition | Secret Rare | $43.27 | — |
|
Heroic Champion - Excalibur REDU-EN0411st Edition | Ghost Rare | $41.21 | — |
 |
Spellbook Magician of Prophecy REDU-EN0151st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $40.48 | — |
|
Spellbook Magician of Prophecy REDU-EN015Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $37.19 | — |
|
Spellbook of Secrets REDU-EN057Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $29.15 | — |
|
High Priestess of Prophecy REDU-EN020Unlimited | Secret Rare | $23.86 | — |
|
Temperance of Prophecy REDU-EN0171st Edition | Super Rare | $25.51 | €19.01 |
|
Temperance of Prophecy REDU-EN017Unlimited | Super Rare | $22.48 | €19.01 |
 |
Madolche Puddingcess REDU-EN0261st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $20.92 | — |
|
Heroic Champion - Excalibur REDU-EN041Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $20.00 | — |
 |
Number 91: Thunder Spark Dragon REDU-EN098Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $19.84 | — |
REDU booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Return of the Duelist - Booster Box$117TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Return of the Duelist - Booster Pack$4.19TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.
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