Is a booster box of RIRA worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a RIRA box would get you $20.88, 18% of the $119 it costs. A typical box gives $17.07 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
RIRA pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 168 (168–168) | 1 in 7 packs | $30.42 | 50% |
| Secrets | 8 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 96 packs | $14.26 | 23% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $6.12 | 10% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 4.0 (4.0–4.0) | 1 in 60 packs | $5.27 | 8.6% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 18 (18–18) | 1 in 19 packs | $5.19 | 8.5% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Fortune Lady Every (RIRA-EN038): 1 in 96 packs, 11% of the box value. $28.05
Marincess Coral Anemone (RIRA-EN041): 1 in 96 packs, 4.5% of the box value. $10.98
Kikinagashi Fucho (RIRA-EN094): 1 in 7 packs, 2.8% of the box value. $0.49
Apollousa, Bow of the Goddess (RIRA-EN048): 1 in 96 packs, 2.7% of the box value. $6.56
Gizmek Orochi, the Serpentron Sky Slasher (RIRA-EN029): 1 in 96 packs, 2.0% of the box value. $4.89
Marincess Blue Slug (RIRA-EN040): 1 in 60 packs, 1.9% of the box value. $2.93
The most expensive RIRA cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apollousa, Bow of the Goddess RIRA-EN0481st Edition | Starlight Rare | $295 | — | |
| Wynn the Wind Charmer, Verdant RIRA-EN0461st Edition | Starlight Rare | $272 | — | |
| Marincess Sea Horse RIRA-EN0031st Edition | Starlight Rare | $83.67 | — | |
| Storm Dragon's Return RIRA-EN0771st Edition | Starlight Rare | $28.79 | — | |
| Fortune Lady Every RIRA-EN0381st Edition | Secret Rare | $28.05 | €13.20 | |
| Fortune Lady Every RIRA-EN038Unlimited | Secret Rare | $21.12 | €13.20 | |
| Marincess Coral Anemone RIRA-EN0411st Edition | Secret Rare | $10.98 | €6.18 | |
| Marincess Coral Anemone RIRA-EN041Unlimited | Secret Rare | $8.47 | €6.18 | |
| Apollousa, Bow of the Goddess RIRA-EN0481st Edition | Secret Rare | $6.56 | — | |
| Apollousa, Bow of the Goddess RIRA-EN048Unlimited | Secret Rare | $5.44 | — | |
| Marincess Blue Slug RIRA-EN0401st Edition | Ultra Rare | $2.93 | €2.69 | |
| Marincess Blue Slug RIRA-EN040Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $2.10 | €2.69 |
RIRA booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Rising Rampage Booster Box [1st Edition]$119TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Rising Rampage Booster Pack [1st Edition]$7.00TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2016-2020 core booster: 7 commons, 1 rare and 1 foil per pack; per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average (Konami, 2015). Starlight Rares (Rising Rampage, Chaos Impact and Ignition Assault) have no published rate: they don't count. The catalog lumps 1st Edition and Unlimited cards together.
Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.