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Yu-Gi-Oh! · Core boosters

RIRA Rising Rampage

Released 26 July 2019 · 209 cards · 24 packs per box

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Rising Rampage Booster Box [1st Edition]

Is a booster box of RIRA worth opening?

Box price$119TCGplayer market price
Expected value$61.27
If you sell the cards$20.88With a 5% fee and leaving out cards under $0.50
A typical box$17.07The median of 10,000 simulated boxes
You get your money back0.0%Almost never

On average, no: selling the cards from a RIRA box would get you $20.88, 18% of the $119 it costs. A typical box gives $17.07 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.

How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).

RIRA pull rates

How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.

RarityCardsPer boxOne specificAddsShare
Common 48 168 (168–168) 1 in 7 packs $30.42 50%
Secrets 8 2.0 (2.0–2.0) 1 in 96 packs $14.26 23%
Rare 20 24 (24–24) 1 in 20 packs $6.12 10%
Ultra Rare 10 4.0 (4.0–4.0) 1 in 60 packs $5.27 8.6%
Super Rare 14 18 (18–18) 1 in 19 packs $5.19 8.5%

The cards that carry the box

What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.

The most expensive RIRA cards

Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.

CardRarityTCGplayerCardmarket
Apollousa, Bow of the Goddess RIRA-EN0481st Edition Starlight Rare $295 —
Wynn the Wind Charmer, Verdant RIRA-EN0461st Edition Starlight Rare $272 —
Marincess Sea Horse RIRA-EN0031st Edition Starlight Rare $83.67 —
Storm Dragon's Return RIRA-EN0771st Edition Starlight Rare $28.79 —
Fortune Lady Every RIRA-EN0381st Edition Secret Rare $28.05 €13.20
Fortune Lady Every RIRA-EN038Unlimited Secret Rare $21.12 €13.20
Marincess Coral Anemone RIRA-EN0411st Edition Secret Rare $10.98 €6.18
Marincess Coral Anemone RIRA-EN041Unlimited Secret Rare $8.47 €6.18
Apollousa, Bow of the Goddess RIRA-EN0481st Edition Secret Rare $6.56 —
Apollousa, Bow of the Goddess RIRA-EN048Unlimited Secret Rare $5.44 —
Marincess Blue Slug RIRA-EN0401st Edition Ultra Rare $2.93 €2.69
Marincess Blue Slug RIRA-EN040Unlimited Ultra Rare $2.10 €2.69

RIRA booster box price over the last year

Loading the price history…

TCGplayer market price, in dollars.

Sealed product

Where the numbers come from

The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.

2016-2020 core booster: 7 commons, 1 rare and 1 foil per pack; per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average (Konami, 2015). Starlight Rares (Rising Rampage, Chaos Impact and Ignition Assault) have no published rate: they don't count. The catalog lumps 1st Edition and Unlimited cards together.

Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab)

Open it in the Kolekto Market

Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.

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