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Yu-Gi-Oh! · Core boosters

ROTD Rise of the Duelist

Released 7 August 2020 · 106 cards · 24 packs per box

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Rise of the Duelist Booster Box [1st Edition]

Is a booster box of ROTD worth opening?

Box price$77.92TCGplayer market price
Expected value$81.64$80.17 to $83.52 depending on the rates
If you sell the cards$39.69With a 5% fee and leaving out cards under $0.50
A typical box$35.07The median of 10,000 simulated boxes
You get your money back4.5%In 1 out of 22 boxes

On average, no: selling the cards from a ROTD box would get you $39.69, 51% of the $77.92 it costs. A typical box gives $35.07 and only 4.5% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.

How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).

ROTD pull rates

How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.

RarityCardsPer boxOne specificAddsShare
Common 50 192 (192–192) 1 in 6 packs $36.13 44%
Super Rare 26 18 (18–18) 1 in 35 packs $21.36 26%
Secrets 10 2.0 (2.0–2.0) 1 in 120 packs $12.89 16%
Ultra Rare 14 4.0 (4.0–4.0) 1 in 84 packs $6.33 7.8%
Starlight 5 0.060 (0.042–0.083) 1 in 2,000 packs $4.91 6.0%

The cards that carry the box

What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.

The most expensive ROTD cards

Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.

CardRarityTCGplayerCardmarket
Triple Tactics Talent ROTD-EN0621st Edition Starlight Rare $154 —
Dogmatika Ecclesia, the Virtuous ROTD-EN0051st Edition Starlight Rare $98.95 —
D.D. Crow ROTD-EN1001st Edition Starlight Rare $75.20 —
Gaia the Magical Knight of Dragons ROTD-EN0371st Edition Starlight Rare $45.22 —
Wynn the Wind Channeler ROTD-EN0861st Edition Starlight Rare $36.11 —
Fallen of Albaz ROTD-EN0111st Edition Secret Rare $11.15 —
Forbidden Droplet ROTD-EN0651st Edition Secret Rare $8.69 €9.30
Raidraptor - Arsenal Falcon ROTD-EN0941st Edition Super Rare $10.58 €8.18
Gaia the Fierce Knight Origin ROTD-ENSP1Limited Edition Ultra Rare $8.97 —
Titaniklad the Ash Dragon ROTD-EN0381st Edition Secret Rare $10.47 €7.81
Triple Tactics Talent ROTD-EN0621st Edition Secret Rare $7.82 —
Dogmatika Fleurdelis, the Knighted ROTD-EN0081st Edition Secret Rare $4.78 €5.71

ROTD booster box price over the last year

Loading the price history…

TCGplayer market price, in dollars.

Sealed product

Where the numbers come from

The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.

2020-2023 core booster (from Eternity Code). 9-card pack: 8 commons and 1 foil (a Super Rare or, in its place, an Ultra or Secret Rare), no rares. Per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average: Konami's official 2015 ratio, which the community treats as still current; Konami hasn't restated it. Starlight: between 1 per 12-box case and 1 per 2 cases (TCGplayer market articles).

Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab)

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Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.

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