![Shadow Specters [1st Edition] - Booster Box](/img/tcg/71188?s=l)
Is a booster box of SHSP worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a SHSP box would get you $35.01, 24% of the $149 it costs. A typical box gives $32.23 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
SHSP pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $40.07 | 51% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $16.64 | 21% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $10.16 | 13% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $4.79 | 6.0% |
| Secrets | 8 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 1 in 185 packs | $4.65 | 5.9% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $2.88 | 3.6% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Number 64: Ronin Raccoon Sandayu (SHSP-EN051): 1 in 20 packs, 7.9% of the box value. $5.24
Number 46: Dragluon (SHSP-EN050): 1 in 70 packs, 5.4% of the box value. $12.56
Divine Dragon Knight Felgrand (SHSP-EN056): 1 in 300 packs, 3.6% of the box value. $35.95
Ghostrick Scare (SHSP-EN074): 1 in 6 packs, 3.5% of the box value. $0.71
Grisaille Prison (SHSP-EN078): 1 in 20 packs, 3.3% of the box value. $2.15
Divine Dragon Knight Felgrand (SHSP-EN056): 1 in 185 packs, 2.7% of the box value. $16.32
The most expensive SHSP cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Ghostrick Alucard SHSP-EN0521st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $43.88 | — |
|
Divine Dragon Knight Felgrand SHSP-EN0561st Edition | Ghost Rare | $35.95 | — |
|
Divine Dragon Knight Felgrand SHSP-EN056Unlimited | Secret Rare | $34.05 | — |
|
Ghostrick Alucard SHSP-EN052Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $32.52 | — |
|
Divine Dragon Knight Felgrand SHSP-EN056Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $30.62 | — |
 |
Divine Dragon Knight Felgrand SHSP-EN0561st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $21.92 | — |
|
Divine Dragon Knight Felgrand SHSP-EN056Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $20.38 | — |
 |
Number 46: Dragluon SHSP-EN0501st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $18.13 | — |
|
Divine Dragon Knight Felgrand SHSP-EN0561st Edition | Secret Rare | $16.32 | — |
|
Number 46: Dragluon SHSP-EN050Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $15.27 | — |
|
Number 46: Dragluon SHSP-EN050Unlimited | Super Rare | $12.63 | — |
|
Number 46: Dragluon SHSP-EN0501st Edition | Super Rare | $12.56 | — |
SHSP booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Shadow Specters [1st Edition] - Booster Box$149TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Shadow Specters Booster Pack [1st Edition]$4.31TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.