Is a booster box of SOFU worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a SOFU box would get you $17.92, 24% of the $74.94 it costs. A typical box gives $16.96 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
SOFU pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 168 (168–168) | 1 in 7 packs | $32.41 | 53% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $8.12 | 13% |
| Secrets | 8 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 96 packs | $7.09 | 12% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 4.0 (4.0–4.0) | 1 in 60 packs | $7.02 | 11% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 18 (18–18) | 1 in 19 packs | $6.83 | 11% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Heritage of the Chalice (SOFU-EN090): 1 in 60 packs, 6.2% of the box value. $9.56
Thunder Dragon Colossus (SOFU-EN037): 1 in 96 packs, 3.1% of the box value. $7.58
Thunder Dragon Titan (SOFU-EN036): 1 in 96 packs, 2.8% of the box value. $6.84
Danger! Mothman! (SOFU-EN084): 1 in 19 packs, 2.3% of the box value. $1.08
Dinowrestler Pankratops (SOFU-EN009): 1 in 7 packs, 2.1% of the box value. $0.37
Predaplant Dragostapelia (SOFU-EN094): 1 in 7 packs, 1.8% of the box value. $0.32
The most expensive SOFU cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Thunder Dragon Colossus SOFU-EN0371st Edition | Secret Rare | $7.58 | — |
|
Heritage of the Chalice SOFU-EN0901st Edition | Ultra Rare | $9.56 | €4.91 |
|
Heritage of the Chalice SOFU-EN090Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $4.93 | €4.91 |
|
Thunder Dragon Titan SOFU-EN0361st Edition | Secret Rare | $6.84 | €3.99 |
|
Thunder Dragon Titan SOFU-EN036Unlimited | Secret Rare | $5.28 | €3.99 |
 |
Condemned Witch SOFU-EN0281st Edition | Secret Rare | $3.70 | €3.85 |
|
Condemned Witch SOFU-EN028Unlimited | Secret Rare | $3.04 | €3.85 |
 |
Thunder Dragonroar SOFU-EN0211st Edition | Ultra Rare | $1.76 | €3.15 |
|
Thunder Dragonroar SOFU-EN021Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $1.62 | €3.15 |
 |
Galaxy-Eyes Solflare Dragon SOFU-EN0421st Edition | Ultra Rare | $1.45 | €2.93 |
|
Galaxy-Eyes Solflare Dragon SOFU-EN042Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $1.37 | €2.93 |
|
Thunder Dragon Colossus SOFU-EN037Unlimited | Secret Rare | $4.28 | €2.61 |
SOFU booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Soul Fusion Booster Box$74.94TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Soul Fusion Booster Pack$3.99TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2016-2020 core booster: 7 commons, 1 rare and 1 foil per pack; per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average (Konami, 2015). Starlight Rares (Rising Rampage, Chaos Impact and Ignition Assault) have no published rate: they don't count. The catalog lumps 1st Edition and Unlimited cards together.
Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.