Is a booster box of EX-03 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a EX-03 box would get you $24.92, 36% of the $68.71 it costs. A typical box gives $24.23 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
EX-03 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncommon | 20 | 72 (72–72) | 1 in 7 packs | $20.12 | 34% |
| Common | 26 | 168 (168–168) | 1 in 4 packs | $14.73 | 25% |
| Alternate Art | 16 | 2.5 (1.9–3.2) | 1 in 152 packs | $10.00 | 17% |
| Rare | 18 | 39 (38–39) | 1 in 11 packs | $7.74 | 13% |
| SR | 8 | 6.0 (6.0–6.0) | 1 in 32 packs | $4.50 | 7.6% |
| SEC & UR alt arts | 3 | 0.47 (0.36–0.59) | 1 in 152 packs | $1.13 | 1.9% |
| SEC | 2 | 0.50 (0.38–0.63) | 1 in 96 packs | $0.93 | 1.6% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Dracomon (EX3-037): 1 in 7 packs, 13% of the box value. $2.15
WarGrowlmon (EX3-062): 1 in 7 packs, 5.5% of the box value. $0.90
Dracomon (EX3-037): 1 in 152 packs, 3.3% of the box value. $12.36
Imperialdramon: Dragon Mode (EX3-063): 1 in 32 packs, 3.2% of the box value. $2.55
Imperialdramon: Dragon Mode (EX3-063): 1 in 152 packs, 2.1% of the box value. $7.97
Growlmon (EX3-057): 1 in 4 packs, 1.9% of the box value. $0.17
The most expensive EX-03 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WarGrowlmon EX3-0622023 Regionals Finalist | Promo | $17.92 | — | |
| Dracomon EX3-037Alternate Art | Uncommon | $12.36 | €12.93 | |
| Imperialdramon: Dragon Mode EX3-063Alternate Art | Super Rare | $7.97 | €12.93 | |
| Hina Kurihara EX3-065Alternate Art | Rare | $4.77 | €9.50 | |
| Chaosdramon EX3-013Alternate Art | Super Rare | $5.83 | €7.00 | |
| Volcanicdramon EX3-012Alternate Art | Super Rare | $2.65 | €6.49 | |
| Magnadramon EX3-036Normal | Rare | $0.16 | €4.28 | |
| Metallicdramon EX3-053Alternate Art | Super Rare | $3.65 | €4.16 | |
| Slayerdramon EX3-024Alternate Art | Rare | $4.08 | €3.93 | |
| Examon EX3-074Normal | Secret Rare | $1.64 | €3.61 | |
| Imperialdramon: Fighter Mode EX3-073Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $2.07 | €3.59 | |
| WarGrowlmon EX3-0622023 Regionals Participant | Promo | $3.96 | — |
EX-03 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Draconic Roar Booster Box$68.71TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Draconic Roar Booster Pack$2.67TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
English wiki box breakdown (no stated sample): per box, 168 commons, 72 uncommons, 38 or 39 rares, 6 Super Rares, 3 alternative arts and a 50% chance of the Secret Rare. No source splits the Super Rare alternative arts from the Secret Rare ones: they are shared out by card count. Hits carry a ±25% range.
Pull rate sources: digimoncardgame.fandom.com (opens in a new tab) · digimoncardgame.fandom.com (opens in a new tab) · digimoncardgame.fandom.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.