Is a booster box of HYC worth opening?
Yes, on average it pays off: selling the cards from a HYC box would get you $199, more than the $128 it costs. But that's an average: a typical box gives $103 and only 39% of boxes get your money back.
How reliable the rates are: low (the game's generic rates: this set has no estimates of its own).
HYC pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iconic | 2 | 0.060 (0.012–0.25) | 1 in 800 packs | $90.20 | 38% |
| Enchanted | 18 | 0.55 (0.40–0.75) | 1 in 786 packs | $75.36 | 32% |
| Super Rare | 18 | 10 (8.0–12) | 1 in 43 packs | $13.19 | 5.6% |
| Legendary | 12 | 5.9 (4.5–6.5) | 1 in 49 packs | $13.18 | 5.6% |
| Common | 72 | 144 (144–144) | 1 in 12 packs | $8.54 | 3.6% |
| Rare | 48 | 32 (30–36) | 1 in 36 packs | $8.11 | 3.4% |
| Uncommon | 54 | 72 (72–72) | 1 in 18 packs | $6.75 | 2.8% |
| Epic | 18 | 2.4 (1.4–2.8) | 1 in 180 packs | $5.77 | 2.4% |
| Foil Uncommon | 54 | 6.0 (5.0–7.0) | 1 in 216 packs | $4.11 | 1.7% |
| Foil Super Rare | 20 | 1.1 (0.80–1.2) | 1 in 436 packs | $3.22 | 1.4% |
| Foil Common | 72 | 10 (9.0–12) | 1 in 168 packs | $3.21 | 1.4% |
| Foil Legendary | 14 | 0.60 (0.45–0.65) | 1 in 560 packs | $3.15 | 1.3% |
| Foil Rare | 48 | 3.0 (2.4–3.4) | 1 in 384 packs | $2.30 | 1.0% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Mickey Mouse - Best in Town (HYC-241): 1 in 800 packs, 24% of the box value. $1,854
Cinderella - Unintentional Icon (HYC-242): 1 in 800 packs, 15% of the box value. $1,152
Ariel - Collector of Oddities (HYC-236): 1 in 785 packs, 4.9% of the box value. $377
Belle - Exceptional Writer (HYC-230): 1 in 785 packs, 3.0% of the box value. $236
Max Goof - Karaoke Star (HYC-229): 1 in 785 packs, 3.0% of the box value. $231
Aurora - Delightful Musician (HYC-223): 1 in 785 packs, 2.6% of the box value. $200
The most expensive HYC cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mickey Mouse - Best in Town HYC-241Foil | Iconic | $1,854 | €1,580 |
|
Cinderella - Unintentional Icon HYC-242Foil | Iconic | $1,152 | €800 |
|
Ariel - Collector of Oddities HYC-236Foil | Enchanted | $377 | €198 |
|
Aurora - Delightful Musician HYC-223Foil | Enchanted | $200 | €142 |
|
Belle - Exceptional Writer HYC-230Foil | Enchanted | $236 | €139 |
 |
Marie - Caught in the Act HYC-238Foil | Enchanted | $153 | €137 |
 |
Merlin - Profoundly Curious HYC-227Foil | Enchanted | $126 | — |
|
Max Goof - Karaoke Star HYC-229Foil | Enchanted | $231 | €111 |
 |
Rapunzel - Outgoing Artist HYC-226Foil | Enchanted | $186 | €108 |
 |
Miguel Rivera - Street Musician HYC-224Foil | Enchanted | $103 | €104 |
 |
Remember Me HYC-225Foil | Enchanted | $144 | €99.82 |
 |
Baymax - Amped Up HYC-237Foil | Enchanted | $98.87 | — |
HYC booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Disney Lorcana: Hyperia City Booster Box$128TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Disney Lorcana: Hyperia City Booster Pack$7.11TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Pack of 12 cards (6 commons, 3 uncommons, 2 rare-or-better and 1 foil of any rarity). Ravensburger publishes no odds: the split of the rare slot (rare, super rare or legendary) and of the foil comes from community estimates, with their range. Enchanted: between 1 in 72 and 1 in 108 packs. Since Fabled the foil slot can also be an Epic or an Iconic. Epic, Legendary and Enchanted from TCGTalk box counts (Wilds Unknown and Attack of the Vine!, about 200 packs each); no Iconic was pulled in either: wide range, from 1 in 2,000 packs to 1 per case.
Pull rate sources: lorcanaplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgtalk.com (opens in a new tab) · tcgtalk.com (opens in a new tab) · lorcanaplayer.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.