Is a booster box of ROF worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a ROF box would get you $40.95, 24% of the $170 it costs. A typical box gives $24.19 and only 3.9% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
ROF pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanted | 12 | 0.25 (0.22–0.33) | 1 in 1,152 packs | $20.71 | 28% |
| Rare | 48 | 34 (30–38) | 1 in 34 packs | $10.38 | 14% |
| Common | 73 | 144 (144–144) | 1 in 12 packs | $9.35 | 13% |
| Legendary | 12 | 4.5 (3.0–6.0) | 1 in 64 packs | $7.64 | 11% |
| Uncommon | 54 | 72 (72–72) | 1 in 18 packs | $7.20 | 9.9% |
| Foil Legendary | 12 | 0.48 (0.30–0.60) | 1 in 600 packs | $4.36 | 6.0% |
| Foil Common | 73 | 13 (12–15) | 1 in 133 packs | $3.89 | 5.3% |
| Foil Rare | 48 | 3.0 (2.4–3.4) | 1 in 384 packs | $3.62 | 5.0% |
| Super Rare | 18 | 10 (7.0–12) | 1 in 43 packs | $2.49 | 3.4% |
| Foil Uncommon | 55 | 6.0 (5.0–7.0) | 1 in 220 packs | $2.23 | 3.1% |
| Foil Super Rare | 18 | 1.1 (0.80–1.2) | 1 in 393 packs | $1.05 | 1.4% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Cinderella - Ballroom Sensation (ROF-205): 1 in 1,152 packs, 7.4% of the box value. $261
Alice - Growing Girl (ROF-213): 1 in 1,152 packs, 4.7% of the box value. $163
Strength of a Raging Fire (ROF-201): 1 in 34 packs, 4.0% of the box value. $4.22
Beast - Tragic Hero (ROF-173): 1 in 64 packs, 4.0% of the box value. $7.78
Snow White - Well Wisher (ROF-206): 1 in 1,152 packs, 3.6% of the box value. $126
Beast - Relentless (ROF-210): 1 in 1,152 packs, 2.0% of the box value. $70.39
The most expensive ROF cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cinderella - Ballroom Sensation ROF-205Foil | Enchanted | $261 | €126 | |
| Snow White - Well Wisher ROF-206Foil | Enchanted | $126 | €93.98 | |
| Alice - Growing Girl ROF-213Foil | Enchanted | $163 | €74.81 | |
| Shere Khan - Menacing Predator ROF-212Foil | Enchanted | $56.33 | €50.78 | |
| Beast - Relentless ROF-210Foil | Enchanted | $70.39 | €50.05 | |
| Sisu - Divine Water Dragon ROF-214Foil | Enchanted | $47.73 | €44.73 | |
| Madam Mim - Purple Dragon ROF-208Foil | Enchanted | $42.85 | €34.08 | |
| Arthur - Wizard's Apprentice ROF-207Foil | Enchanted | $42.24 | €33.05 | |
| Namaari - Morning Mist ROF-216Foil | Enchanted | $36.25 | €32.65 | |
| Hercules - Divine Hero ROF-215Foil | Enchanted | $61.27 | €27.35 | |
| Lady Tremaine - Imperious Queen ROF-211Foil | Enchanted | $39.48 | €27.20 | |
| Pete - Bad Guy ROF-209Foil | Enchanted | $48.11 | €25.15 |
ROF booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Disney Lorcana: Rise of the Floodborn Booster Box$170TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Disney Lorcana: Rise of the Floodborn Booster Pack$6.21TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Pack of 12 cards (6 commons, 3 uncommons, 2 rare-or-better and 1 foil of any rarity). Ravensburger publishes no odds: the split of the rare slot (rare, super rare or legendary) and of the foil comes from community estimates, with their range. Enchanted: between 1 in 72 and 1 in 108 packs.
Pull rate sources: lorcanaplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · cardgamer.com (opens in a new tab) · lorcana-pack-simulator.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.
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