Is a booster box of SSK worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a SSK box would get you $29.49, 20% of the $149 it costs. A typical box gives $11.46 and only 3.1% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
SSK pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanted | 18 | 0.25 (0.22–0.33) | 1 in 1,728 packs | $20.14 | 35% |
| Common | 72 | 144 (144–144) | 1 in 12 packs | $8.24 | 14% |
| Uncommon | 54 | 72 (72–72) | 1 in 18 packs | $6.53 | 11% |
| Rare | 48 | 34 (30–38) | 1 in 34 packs | $5.93 | 10% |
| Legendary | 12 | 4.5 (3.0–6.0) | 1 in 64 packs | $4.47 | 7.8% |
| Foil Common | 72 | 13 (12–15) | 1 in 131 packs | $2.80 | 4.9% |
| Foil Uncommon | 54 | 6.0 (5.0–7.0) | 1 in 216 packs | $2.41 | 4.2% |
| Super Rare | 18 | 10 (7.0–12) | 1 in 43 packs | $2.22 | 3.9% |
| Foil Rare | 48 | 3.0 (2.4–3.4) | 1 in 384 packs | $1.98 | 3.4% |
| Foil Legendary | 12 | 0.48 (0.30–0.60) | 1 in 600 packs | $1.79 | 3.1% |
| Foil Super Rare | 18 | 1.1 (0.80–1.2) | 1 in 393 packs | $1.00 | 1.7% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Mufasa - Ruler of Pride Rock (SSK-217): 1 in 1,728 packs, 8.1% of the box value. $333
Snow White - Fair-Hearted (SSK-220): 1 in 1,728 packs, 3.9% of the box value. $163
Donald Duck - Pie Slinger (SSK-214): 1 in 1,728 packs, 2.9% of the box value. $120
Scar - Vengeful Lion (SSK-212): 1 in 1,728 packs, 2.7% of the box value. $112
Robin Hood - Sharpshooter (SSK-215): 1 in 1,728 packs, 2.3% of the box value. $95.21
Olaf - Happy Passenger (SSK-209): 1 in 1,728 packs, 2.1% of the box value. $86.92
The most expensive SSK cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mufasa - Ruler of Pride Rock SSK-217Foil | Enchanted | $333 | €311 |
|
Robin Hood - Sharpshooter SSK-215Foil | Enchanted | $95.21 | €119 |
|
Scar - Vengeful Lion SSK-212Foil | Enchanted | $112 | €99.41 |
|
Donald Duck - Pie Slinger SSK-214Foil | Enchanted | $120 | €97.31 |
|
Snow White - Fair-Hearted SSK-220Foil | Enchanted | $163 | €93.77 |
 |
Royal Tantrum SSK-219Foil | Enchanted | $43.90 | €77.79 |
 |
You're Welcome SSK-213Foil | Enchanted | $66.66 | €76.56 |
|
Olaf - Happy Passenger SSK-209Foil | Enchanted | $86.92 | €73.11 |
 |
Clarabelle - Light on Her Hooves SSK-211Foil | Enchanted | $51.42 | €61.18 |
 |
Vanellope von Schweetz - Sugar Rush Princess SSK-206Foil | Enchanted | $61.43 | €59.14 |
 |
Arthur - King Victorious SSK-221Foil | Enchanted | $58.31 | €52.38 |
 |
Finders Keepers SSK-210Foil | Enchanted | $41.20 | €46.92 |
SSK booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Disney Lorcana: Shimmering Skies Booster Box$149TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Disney Lorcana: Shimmering Skies Booster Pack$7.62TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Pack of 12 cards (6 commons, 3 uncommons, 2 rare-or-better and 1 foil of any rarity). Ravensburger publishes no odds: the split of the rare slot (rare, super rare or legendary) and of the foil comes from community estimates, with their range. Enchanted: between 1 in 72 and 1 in 108 packs.
Pull rate sources: lorcanaplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · cardgamer.com (opens in a new tab) · lorcana-pack-simulator.com (opens in a new tab)
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