Is a booster box of DFT worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a DFT box would get you $66.33, 63% of the $105 it costs. A typical box gives $64.16 and only 4.9% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
DFT pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 30-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 111 | 218 (207–225) | 1 in 15 packs | $42.87 | 29% |
| Rare | 60 | 29 (26–31) | 1 in 63 packs | $40.49 | 27% |
| Uncommon | 100 | 101 (96–105) | 1 in 30 packs | $26.60 | 18% |
| Foil common | 121 | 21 (19–23) | 1 in 173 packs | $12.27 | 8.2% |
| Mythic | 20 | 4.7 (3.9–5.4) | 1 in 129 packs | $10.81 | 7.3% |
| Foil rare | 120 | 2.0 (1.5–2.4) | 1 in 1,815 packs | $7.46 | 5.0% |
| Special treatments | 58 | 1.8 (0.90–3.0) | 1 in 967 packs | $3.17 | 2.1% |
| Foil mythic | 40 | 0.39 (0.27–0.54) | 1 in 3,061 packs | $3.01 | 2.0% |
| Foil uncommon | 100 | 6.3 (5.1–7.5) | 1 in 476 packs | $2.18 | 1.5% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Riverpyre Verge (DFT-260): 1 in 63 packs, 4.2% of the box value. $13.08
Monument to Endurance (DFT-237): 1 in 63 packs, 3.8% of the box value. $12.06
Sunbillow Verge (DFT-264): 1 in 63 packs, 3.7% of the box value. $11.59
The Aetherspark (DFT-231): 1 in 129 packs, 2.9% of the box value. $18.35
Bleachbone Verge (DFT-250): 1 in 63 packs, 2.8% of the box value. $8.63
Wastewood Verge (DFT-268): 1 in 63 packs, 2.4% of the box value. $7.53
The most expensive DFT cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
The Aetherspark DFT-376Borderless · Rainbow Foil · Serialized · Foil | Mythic | $1,875 | €956 |
 |
Radiant Lotus DFT-416Showcase · Inverted · Full Art · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $139 | €74.84 |
 |
Chandra, Spark Hunter DFT-411Showcase · Inverted · Full Art · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $75.51 | €65.50 |
 |
Loot, the Pathfinder DFT-414Showcase · Inverted · Full Art · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $107 | €64.73 |
 |
The Aetherspark DFT-496Inverted · First Place Foil · Foil | Mythic | $99.85 | €54.23 |
 |
Ketramose, the New Dawn DFT-549Borderless · Inverted · First Place Foil · Foil | Mythic | $44.76 | €45.36 |
 |
Brightglass Gearhulk DFT-547Borderless · Inverted · First Place Foil · Foil | Mythic | $43.68 | €36.03 |
 |
Mu Yanling, Wind Rider DFT-409Showcase · Inverted · Full Art · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $51.18 | €31.25 |
 |
Cursecloth Wrappings DFT-410Showcase · Inverted · Full Art · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $75.58 | €28.80 |
 |
Monument to Endurance DFT-499Inverted · First Place Foil · Foil | Rare | $43.18 | €27.83 |
 |
Riverpyre Verge DFT-503Inverted · First Place Foil · Foil | Rare | $27.73 | €24.43 |
 |
Riverpyre Verge DFT-372Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Rare | $17.10 | €23.34 |
DFT booster box price over the last year
Loading the price history…
There's no price history for this box yet.
Sealed product
Booster box Aetherdrift - Play Booster Display$105TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Aetherdrift - Play Booster Pack$4.09TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Play Booster with the same structure Wizards has published since Murders at Karlov Manor (“Collecting” articles): rare or mythic, 1 in 7 mythic; wildcard and foil estimated. To be checked against the set's own “Collecting” article. Since Aetherdrift, the Play Booster box holds 30 packs (36 before).
Pull rate sources: magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab) · magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab) · magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.