Is a booster box of FDN worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a FDN box would get you $94.23, 55% of the $172 it costs. A typical box gives $90.20 and only 0.9% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
FDN pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 36-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 200 | 261 (248–270) | 1 in 28 packs | $59.59 | 32% |
| Uncommon | 183 | 121 (115–126) | 1 in 55 packs | $34.05 | 18% |
| Rare | 133 | 34 (31–37) | 1 in 140 packs | $32.54 | 17% |
| Mythic | 36 | 5.6 (4.7–6.5) | 1 in 232 packs | $27.02 | 14% |
| Special treatments | 60 | 2.2 (1.1–3.6) | 1 in 1,000 packs | $14.04 | 7.5% |
| Foil common | 114 | 25 (22–27) | 1 in 163 packs | $9.45 | 5.0% |
| Foil rare | 65 | 2.4 (1.8–2.9) | 1 in 983 packs | $4.14 | 2.2% |
| Foil mythic | 23 | 0.47 (0.32–0.65) | 1 in 1,762 packs | $3.80 | 2.0% |
| Foil uncommon | 111 | 7.6 (6.1–9.0) | 1 in 529 packs | $3.46 | 1.8% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Bloodthirsty Conqueror (FDN-58): 1 in 232 packs, 3.2% of the box value. $38.28
Doubling Season (FDN-216): 1 in 232 packs, 2.7% of the box value. $32.69
Twinflame Tyrant (FDN-97): 1 in 232 packs, 1.9% of the box value. $23.39
Hare Apparent (FDN-15): 1 in 28 packs, 1.9% of the box value. $2.73
Mossborn Hydra (FDN-107): 1 in 140 packs, 1.8% of the box value. $13.23
Sire of Seven Deaths (FDN-1): 1 in 232 packs, 1.5% of the box value. $18.02
The most expensive FDN cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Llanowar Elves FDN-439Showcase · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $1,007 | €681 |
 |
Doubling Season FDN-438Showcase · Inverted · Full Art · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $673 | €531 |
 |
Twinflame Tyrant FDN-437Showcase · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $608 | €408 |
 |
Bloodthirsty Conqueror FDN-436Showcase · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $451 | €236 |
 |
Muldrotha, the Gravetide FDN-440Showcase · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $277 | €217 |
 |
Doubling Season FDN-428Showcase · Inverted · Full Art · Foil | Mythic | $261 | €193 |
 |
Sire of Seven Deaths FDN-362Borderless · Inverted · Mana Foil · Foil | Mythic | $276 | €178 |
 |
Giada, Font of Hope FDN-367Borderless · Inverted · Mana Foil · Foil | Rare | $164 | €167 |
 |
Herald of Eternal Dawn FDN-433Showcase · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $183 | €154 |
 |
High Fae Trickster FDN-375Borderless · Inverted · Mana Foil · Foil | Rare | $183 | €148 |
 |
Progenitus FDN-441Showcase · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $422 | €137 |
 |
Llanowar Elves FDN-429Showcase · Foil | Mythic | $214 | €136 |
FDN booster box price over the last year
Loading the price history…
There's no price history for this box yet.
Sealed product
Booster box Magic: The Gathering Foundations - Play Booster Display$172TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Magic: The Gathering Foundations - Play Booster Pack$6.20TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Play Booster with the same structure Wizards has published since Murders at Karlov Manor (“Collecting” articles): rare or mythic, 1 in 7 mythic; wildcard and foil estimated. To be checked against the set's own “Collecting” article.
Pull rate sources: magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab) · magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.