Is a booster box of MSH worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a MSH box would get you $53.77, 51% of the $104 it costs. A typical box gives $48.07 and only 4.4% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
MSH pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 30-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 111 | 218 (207–225) | 1 in 15 packs | $38.01 | 30% |
| Mythic | 25 | 4.7 (3.9–5.4) | 1 in 161 packs | $27.18 | 22% |
| Uncommon | 100 | 101 (96–105) | 1 in 30 packs | $20.26 | 16% |
| Rare | 60 | 29 (26–31) | 1 in 63 packs | $15.12 | 12% |
| Special treatments | 73 | 1.8 (0.90–3.0) | 1 in 1,217 packs | $12.07 | 9.6% |
| Foil common | 121 | 21 (19–23) | 1 in 173 packs | $5.52 | 4.4% |
| Foil mythic | 25 | 0.39 (0.27–0.54) | 1 in 1,913 packs | $3.53 | 2.8% |
| Foil uncommon | 112 | 6.3 (5.1–7.5) | 1 in 533 packs | $2.92 | 2.3% |
| Foil rare | 60 | 2.0 (1.5–2.4) | 1 in 908 packs | $1.65 | 1.3% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
The Mind Stone (MSH-21): 1 in 161 packs, 6.9% of the box value. $46.67
Mjölnir, Hammer of Thor (MSH-146): 1 in 161 packs, 2.1% of the box value. $14.49
Fisk Tower (MSH-265): 1 in 15 packs, 1.6% of the box value. $1.00
The Ten Rings (MSH-251): 1 in 161 packs, 1.5% of the box value. $10.28
Shang-Chi, Master of Kung Fu (MSH-187): 1 in 161 packs, 1.5% of the box value. $10.16
Ultron, Artificial Malevolence (MSH-252): 1 in 161 packs, 1.2% of the box value. $8.25
The most expensive MSH cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
The Mind Stone MSH-386Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $1,612 | €1,737 |
 |
Thanos, the Mad Titan MSH-400Borderless · Foil | Mythic | $159 | €135 |
 |
Doctor Doom MSH-394Borderless · Foil | Mythic | $157 | €115 |
|
The Mind Stone MSH-21Foil | Mythic | $81.22 | €67.82 |
 |
Shang-Chi, Master of Kung Fu MSH-396Borderless · Foil | Mythic | $75.98 | €54.05 |
|
The Mind Stone MSH-21Normal | Mythic | $46.67 | €51.47 |
 |
Ultron, Artificial Malevolence MSH-401Borderless · Foil | Mythic | $73.02 | €46.53 |
 |
Tony Stark // The Invincible Iron Man MSH-392Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $53.97 | €43.85 |
 |
Bruce Banner // The Incredible Hulk MSH-390Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $43.85 | €38.54 |
 |
Captain America, Super-Soldier MSH-387Borderless · Foil | Mythic | $52.41 | €37.43 |
 |
Mjölnir, Hammer of Thor MSH-339Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $43.76 | €36.88 |
 |
King T'Challa // Black Panther, Hope Enduring MSH-399Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $46.27 | €33.96 |
MSH booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Marvel Super Heroes - Play Booster Display$104TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Marvel Super Heroes - Play Booster Pack$4.64TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Play Booster with the same structure Wizards has published since Murders at Karlov Manor (“Collecting” articles): rare or mythic, 1 in 7 mythic; wildcard and foil estimated. To be checked against the set's own “Collecting” article. Since Aetherdrift, the Play Booster box holds 30 packs (36 before).
Pull rate sources: magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab) · magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab) · magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab)
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