Is a booster box of SWSH01 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a SWSH01 box would get you $70.71, 10% of the $689 it costs. A typical box gives $61.28 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
SWSH01 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 36-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 60 | 180 (180–180) | 1 in 12 packs | $30.60 | 22% |
| Ultra Rare | 21 | 5.9 (5.5–6.3) | 1 in 128 packs | $25.01 | 18% |
| Reverse holo | 165 | 36 (36–36) | 1 in 165 packs | $23.03 | 17% |
| Uncommon | 56 | 108 (108–108) | 1 in 19 packs | $19.21 | 14% |
| Secret Rare | 14 | 0.77 (0.62–0.92) | 1 in 655 packs | $14.15 | 10% |
| Full Art | 16 | 1.3 (1.1–1.5) | 1 in 428 packs | $11.94 | 8.7% |
| Rare | 32 | 21 (19–24) | 1 in 54 packs | $7.23 | 5.3% |
| Holo Rare | 17 | 6.6 (4.6–8.5) | 1 in 93 packs | $5.61 | 4.1% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Snorlax VMAX (SWSH01 142/202): 1 in 128 packs, 9.6% of the box value. $46.51
Snorlax VMAX (SWSH01 206/202): 1 in 655 packs, 4.4% of the box value. $108
Gengar (SWSH01 085/202): 1 in 93 packs, 2.5% of the box value. $8.96
Snorlax V (SWSH01 141/202): 1 in 128 packs, 2.2% of the box value. $10.90
Marnie (SWSH01 200/202): 1 in 428 packs, 2.2% of the box value. $35.56
Pikachu (SWSH01 065/202): 1 in 12 packs, 2.1% of the box value. $0.95
The most expensive SWSH01 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Snorlax VMAX SWSH01 206/202Secret | Secret Rare | $108 | — |
|
Snorlax VMAX SWSH01 142/202Normal | Ultra Rare | $46.51 | — |
|
Marnie SWSH01 200/202Full Art | Ultra Rare | $35.56 | — |
 |
Snorlax V SWSH01 197/202Full Art | Ultra Rare | $33.06 | €21.96 |
 |
Zacian V SWSH01 211/202Secret | Secret Rare | $19.53 | — |
 |
Marnie SWSH01 208/202Secret | Secret Rare | $18.46 | — |
 |
Air Balloon SWSH01 213/202Secret | Secret Rare | $11.07 | €16.51 |
 |
Morpeko VMAX SWSH01 204/202Secret | Secret Rare | $26.51 | €14.47 |
 |
Zamazenta V SWSH01 212/202Secret | Secret Rare | $14.27 | — |
 |
Lapras VMAX SWSH01 203/202Secret | Secret Rare | $22.06 | €11.48 |
 |
Quick Ball SWSH01 216/202Secret | Secret Rare | $10.91 | — |
|
Gengar SWSH01 085/202Reverse Holofoil | Holo Rare | $10.58 | — |
SWSH01 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Sword & Shield Booster Box$689TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Sword & Shield Booster Pack$12.25TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Sword & Shield, elitefourum, 4,628 packs: V, VMAX or VSTAR 1 in 6 packs, Full Art 1 in 27 and Secret Rare (rainbow or gold) 1 in 47. Pack of 5 commons, 3 uncommons, 1 reverse holo and 1 rare or better; the rare/holo rare split is an estimate (CardCodex, unsourced).
Pull rate sources: elitefourum.com (opens in a new tab) · cardcodex.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.
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