Is a booster box of ABPF worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a ABPF box would get you $126, 35% of the $360 it costs. A typical box gives $118 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
ABPF pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $77.81 | 45% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $47.75 | 28% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $19.72 | 12% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $16.50 | 9.6% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $9.80 | 5.7% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Consecrated Light (ABPF-EN033): 1 in 6 packs, 19% of the box value. $8.35
Majestic Red Dragon (ABPF-EN040): 1 in 300 packs, 5.7% of the box value. $122
Super-Nimble Mega Hamster (ABPF-EN083): 1 in 70 packs, 5.5% of the box value. $27.34
Tuner's Scheme (ABPF-EN077): 1 in 70 packs, 4.0% of the box value. $19.94
Saber Hole (ABPF-EN073): 1 in 70 packs, 3.9% of the box value. $19.54
Fiendish Chain (ABPF-EN064): 1 in 70 packs, 3.7% of the box value. $18.35
The most expensive ABPF cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Majestic Red Dragon ABPF-EN0401st Edition | Ghost Rare | $122 | — | |
| Battle Fader ABPF-EN0061st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $87.28 | — | |
| Drill Warrior ABPF-EN0411st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $84.55 | — | |
| Majestic Red Dragon ABPF-EN0401st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $59.41 | — | |
| XX-Saber Emmersblade ABPF-EN0811st Edition | Secret Rare | $57.51 | — | |
| Battle Fader ABPF-EN006Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $53.07 | — | |
| Majestic Red Dragon ABPF-EN040Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $48.16 | — | |
| Drill Warrior ABPF-EN041Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $42.14 | — | |
| Sun Dragon Inti ABPF-EN0421st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $34.98 | — | |
| XX-Saber Hyunlei ABPF-EN0441st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $32.57 | — | |
| Earthbound Linewalker ABPF-EN0881st Edition | Secret Rare | $31.91 | — | |
| Garlandolf, King of Destruction ABPF-EN0391st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $31.86 | — |
ABPF booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Absolute Powerforce - Booster Box [Unlimited Edition]—No price
Booster pack Absolute Powerforce - Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]$14.99TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2007-2010 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12 and Ghost 1 in 288. The Secret Rare (often quoted as 1 in 31, unsourced) and Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab)
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