Is a booster box of ABYR worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a ABYR box would get you $52.53, 12% of the $425 it costs. A typical box gives $47.47 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
ABYR pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $45.26 | 49% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $14.20 | 15% |
| Secrets | 8 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 1 in 185 packs | $11.67 | 13% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $9.58 | 10% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $6.28 | 6.8% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $5.01 | 5.4% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Puny Penguin (ABYR-EN037): 1 in 6 packs, 8.1% of the box value. $1.92
Madolche Messengelato (ABYR-EN027): 1 in 20 packs, 5.9% of the box value. $4.54
Abyss-sphere (ABYR-EN072): 1 in 120 packs, 5.6% of the box value. $25.53
Number C32: Shark Drake Veiss (ABYR-EN039): 1 in 300 packs, 5.4% of the box value. $62.66
Magic Deflector (ABYR-EN076): 1 in 6 packs, 4.0% of the box value. $0.96
Madolchepalooza (ABYR-EN074): 1 in 70 packs, 3.4% of the box value. $9.11
The most expensive ABYR cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Number C32: Shark Drake Veiss ABYR-EN0391st Edition | Ghost Rare | $62.66 | — |
 |
Abyss-sphere ABYR-EN0721st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $48.99 | — |
 |
Madolche Queen Tiaramisu ABYR-EN0481st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $47.38 | — |
|
Number C32: Shark Drake Veiss ABYR-EN039Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $44.97 | — |
 |
Mermail Abysslinde ABYR-EN0141st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $42.12 | — |
|
Abyss-sphere ABYR-EN072Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $35.93 | — |
|
Abyss-sphere ABYR-EN072Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $26.00 | — |
|
Madolche Queen Tiaramisu ABYR-EN048Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $25.89 | — |
|
Abyss-sphere ABYR-EN0721st Edition | Ultra Rare | $25.53 | — |
 |
The Grand Spellbook Tower ABYR-EN0601st Edition | Secret Rare | $22.63 | €15.49 |
|
The Grand Spellbook Tower ABYR-EN060Unlimited | Secret Rare | $13.49 | €15.49 |
 |
Mermail Abyssgaios ABYR-EN0461st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $17.12 | — |
ABYR booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Abyss Rising - Booster Box$425Cardmarket, converted to dollars
Booster pack Abyss Rising - Booster Pack$5.99TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.