Is a booster box of BOSH worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a BOSH box would get you $26.14, 20% of the $132 it costs. A typical box gives $25.69 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
BOSH pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 168 (168–168) | 1 in 7 packs | $39.83 | 56% |
| Secrets | 8 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 96 packs | $8.94 | 13% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $8.72 | 12% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 4.0 (4.0–4.0) | 1 in 60 packs | $7.40 | 10% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 18 (18–18) | 1 in 19 packs | $6.21 | 8.7% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Blackwing - Harmattan the Dust (BOSH-EN014): 1 in 7 packs, 7.7% of the box value. $1.56
Kozmo Dark Eclipser (BOSH-EN085): 1 in 96 packs, 4.1% of the box value. $11.72
Black Luster Soldier - Sacred Soldier (BOSH-EN097): 1 in 60 packs, 2.9% of the box value. $5.17
Wizard Buster Destruction Sword (BOSH-EN021): 1 in 7 packs, 2.4% of the box value. $0.48
Buster Blader, the Dragon Destroyer Swordsman (BOSH-EN045): 1 in 96 packs, 2.4% of the box value. $6.69
Buster Dragon (BOSH-EN052): 1 in 60 packs, 2.0% of the box value. $3.53
The most expensive BOSH cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Kozmo Dark Eclipser BOSH-EN0851st Edition | Secret Rare | $11.72 | €15.51 |
|
Kozmo Dark Eclipser BOSH-EN085Unlimited | Secret Rare | $9.84 | €15.51 |
|
Buster Blader, the Dragon Destroyer Swordsman BOSH-EN0451st Edition | Secret Rare | $6.69 | €5.68 |
|
Buster Blader, the Dragon Destroyer Swordsman BOSH-EN045Unlimited | Secret Rare | $5.67 | €5.68 |
 |
Cyber Dragon Infinity BOSH-EN0941st Edition | Secret Rare | $4.56 | €3.71 |
|
Cyber Dragon Infinity BOSH-EN094Unlimited | Secret Rare | $2.70 | €3.71 |
 |
Number 23: Lancelot, Dark Knight of the Underworld BOSH-ENSE2Limited Edition | Super Rare | $3.97 | — |
 |
Quaking Mirror Force BOSH-EN0761st Edition | Ultra Rare | $3.15 | €2.57 |
|
Quaking Mirror Force BOSH-EN076Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $2.48 | €2.57 |
|
Black Luster Soldier - Sacred Soldier BOSH-EN0971st Edition | Ultra Rare | $5.17 | €2.53 |
|
Black Luster Soldier - Sacred Soldier BOSH-EN097Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $5.38 | €2.53 |
 |
Shiranui Shogunsaga BOSH-EN0541st Edition | Ultra Rare | $1.54 | €1.90 |
BOSH booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Breakers of Shadow Booster Box$132TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Breakers of Shadow Booster Pack$7.25TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2016-2020 core booster: 7 commons, 1 rare and 1 foil per pack; per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average (Konami, 2015). Starlight Rares (Rising Rampage, Chaos Impact and Ignition Assault) have no published rate: they don't count. The catalog lumps 1st Edition and Unlimited cards together.
Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.
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