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Yu-Gi-Oh! · Core boosters

DOCS Dimension of Chaos

Released 13 November 2015 · 217 cards · 24 packs per box

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Dimension of Chaos - Booster Box

Is a booster box of DOCS worth opening?

Box price$121Cardmarket, converted to dollars
Expected value$90.67$90.25 to $91.93 depending on the rates
If you sell the cards$49.08With a 5% fee and leaving out cards under $0.50
A typical box$41.01The median of 10,000 simulated boxes
You get your money back1.5%In 1 out of 67 boxes

On average, no: selling the cards from a DOCS box would get you $49.08, 41% of the $121 it costs. A typical box gives $41.01 and only 1.5% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.

How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).

DOCS pull rates

How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.

RarityCardsPer boxOne specificAddsShare
Common 48 186 (184–192) 1 in 6 packs $39.25 43%
Super Rare 14 4.8 (4.8–4.8) 1 in 70 packs $19.52 22%
Rare 20 24 (24–24) 1 in 20 packs $16.72 18%
Secrets 8 1.0 (1.0–1.0) 1 in 185 packs $5.26 5.8%
Ghost 1 0.080 (0.080–0.080) 1 in 300 packs $5.03 5.6%
Ultra Rare 10 2.0 (2.0–2.0) 1 in 120 packs $4.88 5.4%

The cards that carry the box

What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.

The most expensive DOCS cards

Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.

CardRarityTCGplayerCardmarket
Scarlight Red Dragon Archfiend DOCS-EN0461st Edition Ghost Rare $62.93 —
Scarlight Red Dragon Archfiend DOCS-EN046Unlimited Ghost Rare $47.10 —
Black Luster Soldier - Super Soldier DOCS-EN0421st Edition Ultimate Rare $41.54 —
Black Luster Soldier - Super Soldier DOCS-EN042Unlimited Ultimate Rare $38.33 —
Scarlight Red Dragon Archfiend DOCS-EN0461st Edition Ultimate Rare $21.59 —
Graydle Dragon DOCS-EN0481st Edition Super Rare $31.96 €18.90
Graydle Dragon DOCS-EN048Unlimited Super Rare $29.53 €18.90
Odd-Eyes Vortex Dragon DOCS-EN0451st Edition Ultimate Rare $18.75 —
Scarlight Red Dragon Archfiend DOCS-EN046Unlimited Ultimate Rare $17.01 —
Kozmo Dark Destroyer DOCS-EN0851st Edition Secret Rare $19.75 €14.10
Kozmo Dark Destroyer DOCS-EN085Unlimited Secret Rare $17.57 €14.10
Odd-Eyes Vortex Dragon DOCS-EN045Unlimited Ultimate Rare $12.63 —

DOCS booster box price over the last year

Loading the price history…

TCGplayer market price, in dollars.

Sealed product

Where the numbers come from

The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.

2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.

Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)

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Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.

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