Is a booster box of DOCS worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a DOCS box would get you $49.08, 41% of the $121 it costs. A typical box gives $41.01 and only 1.5% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
DOCS pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $39.25 | 43% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $19.52 | 22% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $16.72 | 18% |
| Secrets | 8 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 1 in 185 packs | $5.26 | 5.8% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $5.03 | 5.6% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $4.88 | 5.4% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Graydle Dragon (DOCS-EN048): 1 in 70 packs, 12% of the box value. $31.96
Scarlight Red Dragon Archfiend (DOCS-EN046): 1 in 300 packs, 5.6% of the box value. $62.93
Gameciel, the Sea Turtle Kaiju (DOCS-EN088): 1 in 20 packs, 5.3% of the box value. $3.97
Assault Blackwing - Kunai the Drizzle (DOCS-EN018): 1 in 20 packs, 3.0% of the box value. $2.27
Kozmo Dark Destroyer (DOCS-EN085): 1 in 185 packs, 2.8% of the box value. $19.75
Dark Contract with the Gate (DOCS-EN093): 1 in 6 packs, 2.7% of the box value. $0.63
The most expensive DOCS cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scarlight Red Dragon Archfiend DOCS-EN0461st Edition | Ghost Rare | $62.93 | — | |
| Scarlight Red Dragon Archfiend DOCS-EN046Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $47.10 | — | |
| Black Luster Soldier - Super Soldier DOCS-EN0421st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $41.54 | — | |
| Black Luster Soldier - Super Soldier DOCS-EN042Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $38.33 | — | |
| Scarlight Red Dragon Archfiend DOCS-EN0461st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $21.59 | — | |
| Graydle Dragon DOCS-EN0481st Edition | Super Rare | $31.96 | €18.90 | |
| Graydle Dragon DOCS-EN048Unlimited | Super Rare | $29.53 | €18.90 | |
| Odd-Eyes Vortex Dragon DOCS-EN0451st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $18.75 | — | |
| Scarlight Red Dragon Archfiend DOCS-EN046Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $17.01 | — | |
| Kozmo Dark Destroyer DOCS-EN0851st Edition | Secret Rare | $19.75 | €14.10 | |
| Kozmo Dark Destroyer DOCS-EN085Unlimited | Secret Rare | $17.57 | €14.10 | |
| Odd-Eyes Vortex Dragon DOCS-EN045Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $12.63 | — |
DOCS booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Dimension of Chaos - Booster Box$121Cardmarket, converted to dollars
Booster pack Dimension of Chaos - Booster Pack$8.80Cardmarket, converted to dollars
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
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