Is a booster box of CIBR worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a CIBR box would get you $24.72, 57% of the $43.32 it costs. A typical box gives $22.82 and only 0.4% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
CIBR pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 168 (168–168) | 1 in 7 packs | $44.66 | 66% |
| Secrets | 8 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 96 packs | $7.41 | 11% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 18 (18–18) | 1 in 19 packs | $6.93 | 10% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $6.47 | 9.6% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 4.0 (4.0–4.0) | 1 in 60 packs | $1.88 | 2.8% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Ojama Duo (CIBR-EN080): 1 in 7 packs, 11% of the box value. $2.15
Amazoness Empress (CIBR-EN095): 1 in 7 packs, 4.9% of the box value. $0.95
Akashic Magician (CIBR-EN051): 1 in 96 packs, 4.3% of the box value. $11.59
Evenly Matched (CIBR-EN077): 1 in 96 packs, 4.3% of the box value. $11.46
Amano-Iwato (CIBR-EN036): 1 in 7 packs, 3.4% of the box value. $0.66
Number 41: Bagooska the Terribly Tired Tapir (CIBR-EN097): 1 in 19 packs, 3.3% of the box value. $1.72
The most expensive CIBR cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Akashic Magician CIBR-EN0511st Edition | Secret Rare | $11.59 | — |
|
Evenly Matched CIBR-EN0771st Edition | Secret Rare | $11.46 | €5.23 |
|
Evenly Matched CIBR-EN077Unlimited | Secret Rare | $6.63 | €5.23 |
|
Akashic Magician CIBR-EN051Unlimited | Secret Rare | $4.00 | €3.35 |
 |
Asymmetaphys CIBR-EN0601st Edition | Ultra Rare | $0.69 | €2.53 |
|
Asymmetaphys CIBR-EN060Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $1.28 | €2.53 |
 |
The Winged Dragon of Ra - Sphere Mode CIBR-ENSE2Limited Edition | Super Rare | $4.63 | €1.64 |
 |
Quick Launch CIBR-EN0561st Edition | Secret Rare | $1.74 | €1.50 |
|
Quick Launch CIBR-EN056Unlimited | Secret Rare | $1.48 | €1.50 |
|
Number 41: Bagooska the Terribly Tired Tapir CIBR-EN0971st Edition | Super Rare | $1.72 | €1.37 |
|
Number 41: Bagooska the Terribly Tired Tapir CIBR-EN097Unlimited | Super Rare | $1.56 | €1.37 |
 |
Altergeist Primebanshee CIBR-EN0471st Edition | Ultra Rare | $0.29 | €1.17 |
CIBR booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Circuit Break Booster Box$43.32TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Circuit Break Booster Pack$2.49TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2016-2020 core booster: 7 commons, 1 rare and 1 foil per pack; per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average (Konami, 2015). Starlight Rares (Rising Rampage, Chaos Impact and Ignition Assault) have no published rate: they don't count. The catalog lumps 1st Edition and Unlimited cards together.
Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.