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Yu-Gi-Oh! · Special boosters

SPWA Spirit Warriors

Released 10 November 2017 · 60 cards · 24 packs per box

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Spirit Warriors Booster Box

Is a booster box of SPWA worth opening?

Box price$82.97Cardmarket, converted to dollars
Expected value$132
If you sell the cards$110With a 5% fee and leaving out cards under $0.50
A typical box$109The median of 10,000 simulated boxes
You get your money back100%Almost always

Yes, on average it pays off: selling the cards from a SPWA box would get you $110, more than the $82.97 it costs. But that's an average: a typical box gives $109 and only 100% of boxes get your money back.

How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).

SPWA pull rates

How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.

RarityCardsPer boxOne specificAddsShare
Super Rare 40 96 (96–96) 1 in 10 packs $77.83 59%
Secrets 20 24 (24–24) 1 in 20 packs $53.82 41%

The cards that carry the box

What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.

The most expensive SPWA cards

Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.

CardRarityTCGplayerCardmarket
The Weather Painter Cloud SPWA-EN0311st Edition Secret Rare $2.44 €5.33
Magical Musketeer Starfire SPWA-EN0191st Edition Secret Rare $5.02 —
Secret Six Samurai - Rihan SPWA-EN0061st Edition Secret Rare $9.40 €3.92
Magical Musket - Cross-Domination SPWA-EN0241st Edition Secret Rare $2.98 €2.68
The Weather Painter Snow SPWA-EN0291st Edition Secret Rare $2.73 €2.63
Scrap-Iron Scarecrow SPWA-EN0581st Edition Super Rare $3.49 €2.60
Legendary Six Samurai - Shi En SPWA-EN0111st Edition Secret Rare $1.59 €2.35
Asceticism of the Six Samurai SPWA-EN0481st Edition Super Rare $3.68 €2.24
Magical Musketeer Caspar SPWA-EN0161st Edition Secret Rare $3.97 €2.16
Legendary Six Samurai - Kizan SPWA-EN0101st Edition Super Rare $4.83 €1.90
Legendary Six Samurai - Kageki SPWA-EN0431st Edition Super Rare $1.65 €1.84
The Weather Painter Aurora SPWA-EN0341st Edition Secret Rare $1.03 €1.67

SPWA booster box price over the last year

Loading the price history…

TCGplayer market price, in dollars.

Sealed product

Where the numbers come from

The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.

All-foil 5-card set: 4 Super Rares and 1 Secret Rare per pack (Konami).

Pull rate sources: yugioh-card.com (opens in a new tab) · yugioh-card.com (opens in a new tab)

Open it in the Kolekto Market

Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.

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