Is a booster box of CSOC worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a CSOC box would get you $236, 50% of the $469 it costs. A typical box gives $118 and only 8.1% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
CSOC pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $120 | 41% |
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $73.43 | 25% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $37.76 | 13% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $33.98 | 12% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $26.62 | 9.1% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Black Rose Dragon (CSOC-EN039): 1 in 300 packs, 41% of the box value. $1,499
Black Rose Dragon (CSOC-EN039): 1 in 120 packs, 5.4% of the box value. $78.51
Iron Chain Dragon (CSOC-EN040): 1 in 20 packs, 4.7% of the box value. $11.44
Plaguespreader Zombie (CSOC-EN031): 1 in 120 packs, 3.2% of the box value. $46.09
Nettles (CSOC-EN024): 1 in 6 packs, 3.0% of the box value. $2.23
Copy Plant (CSOC-EN005): 1 in 6 packs, 2.7% of the box value. $2.03
The most expensive CSOC cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Black Rose Dragon CSOC-EN0391st Edition | Ghost Rare | $1,499 | — |
 |
Black Rose Dragon CSOC-EN0391st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $1,013 | — |
 |
Plaguespreader Zombie CSOC-EN0311st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $645 | — |
|
Black Rose Dragon CSOC-EN039Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $409 | — |
 |
Tytannial, Princess of Camellias CSOC-EN0291st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $356 | — |
|
Black Rose Dragon CSOC-EN039Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $196 | — |
 |
Revived King Ha Des CSOC-EN0441st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $165 | — |
 |
Gladiator Beast Retiari CSOC-EN0861st Edition | Secret Rare | $161 | — |
 |
Elemental Hero Divine Neos CSOC-EN0981st Edition | Secret Rare | $139 | — |
 |
Doomkaiser Dragon CSOC-EN0431st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $137 | — |
|
Plaguespreader Zombie CSOC-EN031Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $135 | — |
 |
Tempest Magician CSOC-EN0881st Edition | Secret Rare | $115 | — |
CSOC booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Crossroads of Chaos - Booster Box$469TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Crossroads of Chaos - Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]$15.79TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2007-2010 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12 and Ghost 1 in 288. The Secret Rare (often quoted as 1 in 31, unsourced) and Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.
Make a Crossroads of Chaos binder Open it in the Kolekto Market