Is a booster box of EXVC worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a EXVC box would get you $67.71, 25% of the $274 it costs. A typical box gives $57.62 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
EXVC pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $60.53 | 52% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $17.83 | 15% |
| Secrets | 8 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 1 in 185 packs | $13.98 | 12% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $10.83 | 9.2% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $9.92 | 8.5% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $4.22 | 3.6% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Tour Guide From the Underworld (EXVC-EN084): 1 in 185 packs, 7.9% of the box value. $71.52
Aurora Paragon (EXVC-EN036): 1 in 6 packs, 7.0% of the box value. $2.13
Soundproofed (EXVC-EN060): 1 in 20 packs, 4.8% of the box value. $4.73
Debunk (EXVC-EN076): 1 in 70 packs, 3.7% of the box value. $12.60
Life Stream Dragon (EXVC-EN038): 1 in 120 packs, 3.6% of the box value. $21.12
Junk Berserker (EXVC-EN037): 1 in 300 packs, 3.6% of the box value. $52.78
The most expensive EXVC cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tour Guide From the Underworld EXVC-EN0841st Edition | Secret Rare | $71.52 | — | |
| Junk Berserker EXVC-EN0371st Edition | Ghost Rare | $52.78 | — | |
| Life Stream Dragon EXVC-EN0381st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $30.55 | — | |
| Tour Guide From the Underworld EXVC-EN084Unlimited | Secret Rare | $36.29 | €27.02 | |
| Junk Berserker EXVC-EN037Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $30.00 | — | |
| Elemental Hero Neos Knight EXVC-EN0931st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $29.82 | — | |
| Elemental Hero Neos Knight EXVC-EN093Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $28.99 | — | |
| Life Stream Dragon EXVC-EN038Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $24.95 | — | |
| T.G. Halberd Cannon EXVC-EN0431st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $21.92 | — | |
| Junk Berserker EXVC-EN0371st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $21.58 | — | |
| Life Stream Dragon EXVC-EN0381st Edition | Ultra Rare | $21.12 | — | |
| Life Stream Dragon EXVC-EN038Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $19.28 | — |
EXVC booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Extreme Victory - Booster Box$274TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Extreme Victory - Booster Pack$11.45TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.