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Yu-Gi-Oh! · Special boosters

HA04 Hidden Arsenal 4

Released 19 April 2011 · 122 cards · 24 packs per box

Make a Hidden Arsenal 4 binder

Hidden Arsenal 4 - Booster Box [1st Edition]

Is a booster box of HA04 worth opening?

Box price$120TCGplayer market price
Expected value$69.22
If you sell the cards$40.91With a 5% fee and leaving out cards under $0.50
A typical box$40.65The median of 10,000 simulated boxes
You get your money back0.0%Almost never

On average, no: selling the cards from a HA04 box would get you $40.91, 34% of the $120 it costs. A typical box gives $40.65 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.

How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).

HA04 pull rates

How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.

RarityCardsPer boxOne specificAddsShare
Secrets 20 24 (24–24) 1 in 20 packs $40.80 59%
Super Rare 40 96 (96–96) 1 in 10 packs $28.42 41%

The cards that carry the box

What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.

The most expensive HA04 cards

Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.

CardRarityTCGplayerCardmarket
Jurrac Meteor HA04-EN0291st Edition Secret Rare $4.21 €6.42
Jurrac Meteor HA04-EN029Unlimited Secret Rare $4.24 €6.42
Dragunity Knight - Trident HA04-EN0281st Edition Secret Rare $7.07 —
Dragunity Knight - Barcha HA04-EN059Unlimited Secret Rare $5.30 —
Trishula, Dragon of the Ice Barrier HA04-EN0601st Edition Secret Rare $3.54 €3.65
Trishula, Dragon of the Ice Barrier HA04-EN060Unlimited Secret Rare $1.92 €3.65
General Raiho of the Ice Barrier HA04-EN0251st Edition Secret Rare $2.00 €3.10
General Raiho of the Ice Barrier HA04-EN025Unlimited Secret Rare $2.10 €3.10
Dragunity Knight - Trident HA04-EN028Unlimited Secret Rare $5.58 €2.31
Dragunity Knight - Barcha HA04-EN0591st Edition Secret Rare $4.16 €1.75
Naturia Ragweed HA04-EN0501st Edition Super Rare $0.17 €1.48
Naturia Ragweed HA04-EN050Unlimited Super Rare $0.16 €1.48

HA04 booster box price over the last year

Loading the price history…

TCGplayer market price, in dollars.

Sealed product

Where the numbers come from

The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.

Hidden Arsenal: each 5-card pack has 1 Secret Rare and 4 Super Rares (Konami).

Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · web.archive.org (opens in a new tab)

Open it in the Kolekto Market

Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.

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