Is a booster box of HA04 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a HA04 box would get you $40.91, 34% of the $120 it costs. A typical box gives $40.65 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
HA04 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secrets | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $40.80 | 59% |
| Super Rare | 40 | 96 (96–96) | 1 in 10 packs | $28.42 | 41% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Dragunity Knight - Trident (HA04-EN028): 1 in 20 packs, 12% of the box value. $7.07
Naturia Exterio (HA04-EN055): 1 in 20 packs, 7.9% of the box value. $4.58
Jurrac Meteor (HA04-EN029): 1 in 20 packs, 7.3% of the box value. $4.21
Dragunity Knight - Barcha (HA04-EN059): 1 in 20 packs, 7.2% of the box value. $4.16
Trishula, Dragon of the Ice Barrier (HA04-EN060): 1 in 20 packs, 6.1% of the box value. $3.54
The Fabled Cerburrel (HA04-EN008): 1 in 20 packs, 3.5% of the box value. $2.02
The most expensive HA04 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jurrac Meteor HA04-EN0291st Edition | Secret Rare | $4.21 | €6.42 | |
| Jurrac Meteor HA04-EN029Unlimited | Secret Rare | $4.24 | €6.42 | |
| Dragunity Knight - Trident HA04-EN0281st Edition | Secret Rare | $7.07 | — | |
| Dragunity Knight - Barcha HA04-EN059Unlimited | Secret Rare | $5.30 | — | |
| Trishula, Dragon of the Ice Barrier HA04-EN0601st Edition | Secret Rare | $3.54 | €3.65 | |
| Trishula, Dragon of the Ice Barrier HA04-EN060Unlimited | Secret Rare | $1.92 | €3.65 | |
| General Raiho of the Ice Barrier HA04-EN0251st Edition | Secret Rare | $2.00 | €3.10 | |
| General Raiho of the Ice Barrier HA04-EN025Unlimited | Secret Rare | $2.10 | €3.10 | |
| Dragunity Knight - Trident HA04-EN028Unlimited | Secret Rare | $5.58 | €2.31 | |
| Dragunity Knight - Barcha HA04-EN0591st Edition | Secret Rare | $4.16 | €1.75 | |
| Naturia Ragweed HA04-EN0501st Edition | Super Rare | $0.17 | €1.48 | |
| Naturia Ragweed HA04-EN050Unlimited | Super Rare | $0.16 | €1.48 |
HA04 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Hidden Arsenal 4 - Booster Box [1st Edition]$120TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Hidden Arsenal 4 - Booster Pack [Unlimited Edition]$5.99TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Hidden Arsenal: each 5-card pack has 1 Secret Rare and 4 Super Rares (Konami).
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · web.archive.org (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.
Make a Hidden Arsenal 4 binder Open it in the Kolekto Market