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Yu-Gi-Oh! · Core boosters

PRIO Primal Origin

Released 16 May 2014 · 218 cards · 24 packs per box

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Primal Origin - Booster Box [1st Edition]

Is a booster box of PRIO worth opening?

Box price$103TCGplayer market price
Expected value$93.51$92.90 to $95.34 depending on the rates
If you sell the cards$49.78With a 5% fee and leaving out cards under $0.50
A typical box$48.33The median of 10,000 simulated boxes
You get your money back0.0%Almost never

On average, no: selling the cards from a PRIO box would get you $49.78, 49% of the $103 it costs. A typical box gives $48.33 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.

How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).

PRIO pull rates

How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.

RarityCardsPer boxOne specificAddsShare
Common 48 186 (184–192) 1 in 6 packs $56.73 61%
Rare 20 24 (24–24) 1 in 20 packs $16.26 17%
Super Rare 14 4.8 (4.8–4.8) 1 in 70 packs $8.07 8.6%
Ultra Rare 10 2.0 (2.0–2.0) 1 in 120 packs $7.18 7.7%
Secrets 8 1.0 (1.0–1.0) 1 in 185 packs $3.33 3.6%
Ghost 1 0.080 (0.080–0.080) 1 in 300 packs $1.94 2.1%

The cards that carry the box

What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.

The most expensive PRIO cards

Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.

CardRarityTCGplayerCardmarket
Number C107: Neo Galaxy-Eyes Tachyon Dragon PRIO-EN0411st Edition Ultimate Rare $32.34 —
Number 62: Galaxy-Eyes Prime Photon Dragon PRIO-EN0401st Edition Ultimate Rare $30.88 —
Number C107: Neo Galaxy-Eyes Tachyon Dragon PRIO-EN041Unlimited Ultimate Rare $26.58 —
Number 62: Galaxy-Eyes Prime Photon Dragon PRIO-EN040Unlimited Ultimate Rare $26.29 —
Bujinki Amaterasu PRIO-EN0521st Edition Ghost Rare $24.26 —
Artifact Durendal PRIO-EN0491st Edition Ultimate Rare $18.95 —
Bujinki Amaterasu PRIO-EN052Unlimited Ghost Rare $18.61 —
Artifact Durendal PRIO-EN049Unlimited Ultimate Rare $16.94 —
Artifact Ignition PRIO-EN0601st Edition Ultra Rare $5.60 €8.84
Artifact Ignition PRIO-EN060Unlimited Ultra Rare $3.97 €8.84
Majesty's Fiend PRIO-EN0341st Edition Secret Rare $4.53 €7.85
Majesty's Fiend PRIO-EN034Unlimited Secret Rare $3.21 €7.85

PRIO booster box price over the last year

Loading the price history…

TCGplayer market price, in dollars.

Sealed product

Where the numbers come from

The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.

2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.

Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)

Open it in the Kolekto Market

Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.

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