Is a booster box of SAST worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a SAST box would get you $21.95, 8% of the $270 it costs. A typical box gives $21.81 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
SAST pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 168 (168–168) | 1 in 7 packs | $37.84 | 57% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 18 (18–18) | 1 in 19 packs | $11.85 | 18% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $6.49 | 9.8% |
| Secrets | 8 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 96 packs | $6.01 | 9.0% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 4.0 (4.0–4.0) | 1 in 60 packs | $4.39 | 6.6% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Cyberse Wicckid (SAST-EN044): 1 in 7 packs, 4.4% of the box value. $0.83
Elemental HERO Cosmo Neos (SAST-EN036): 1 in 19 packs, 4.3% of the box value. $2.23
Neos Fusion (SAST-EN060): 1 in 19 packs, 3.3% of the box value. $1.69
Guardragon Pisty (SAST-EN052): 1 in 19 packs, 2.6% of the box value. $1.36
Child's Play (SAST-EN069): 1 in 7 packs, 2.5% of the box value. $0.48
Fantastical Dragon Phantazmay (SAST-EN020): 1 in 96 packs, 2.5% of the box value. $6.66
The most expensive SAST cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fantastical Dragon Phantazmay SAST-EN0201st Edition | Secret Rare | $6.66 | €6.97 | |
| Fantastical Dragon Phantazmay SAST-EN020Unlimited | Secret Rare | $3.92 | €6.97 | |
| Trickstar Live Stage SAST-EN0581st Edition | Secret Rare | $3.32 | €6.52 | |
| Trickstar Live Stage SAST-EN058Unlimited | Secret Rare | $3.01 | €6.52 | |
| Pot of Extravagance SAST-EN067Unlimited | Secret Rare | $6.10 | — | |
| Pot of Extravagance SAST-EN0671st Edition | Secret Rare | $6.02 | — | |
| Witch's Strike SAST-EN0791st Edition | Secret Rare | $4.21 | €5.07 | |
| Witch's Strike SAST-EN079Unlimited | Secret Rare | $4.32 | €5.07 | |
| Trickstar Divaridis SAST-EN0491st Edition | Ultra Rare | $2.73 | €3.75 | |
| Trickstar Divaridis SAST-EN049Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $2.82 | €3.75 | |
| Trickstar Corobane SAST-EN0951st Edition | Ultra Rare | $1.14 | €2.26 | |
| Trickstar Corobane SAST-EN095Unlimited | Ultra Rare | $1.10 | €2.26 |
SAST booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Savage Strike Booster Box$270TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Savage Strike Booster Pack$5.00TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2016-2020 core booster: 7 commons, 1 rare and 1 foil per pack; per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average (Konami, 2015). Starlight Rares (Rising Rampage, Chaos Impact and Ignition Assault) have no published rate: they don't count. The catalog lumps 1st Edition and Unlimited cards together.
Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.