Is a booster box of SECE worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a SECE box would get you $16.80, 42% of the $40.15 it costs. A typical box gives $14.80 and only 2.8% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
SECE pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 186 (184–192) | 1 in 6 packs | $37.36 | 65% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $6.88 | 12% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 4.8 (4.8–4.8) | 1 in 70 packs | $4.88 | 8.4% |
| Secrets | 8 | 1.0 (1.0–1.0) | 1 in 185 packs | $3.47 | 6.0% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 120 packs | $3.17 | 5.5% |
| Ghost | 1 | 0.080 (0.080–0.080) | 1 in 300 packs | $2.05 | 3.6% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Uni-Zombie (SECE-EN040): 1 in 6 packs, 4.2% of the box value. $0.63
Malacoda, Netherlord of the Burning Abyss (SECE-EN085): 1 in 300 packs, 3.6% of the box value. $25.67
Extra Net (SECE-EN066): 1 in 6 packs, 2.8% of the box value. $0.42
Superheavy Samurai Soulpiercer (SECE-EN009): 1 in 6 packs, 2.5% of the box value. $0.38
Morphtronic Smartfon (SECE-EN030): 1 in 6 packs, 2.5% of the box value. $0.38
Dragunity Divine Lance (SECE-EN062): 1 in 6 packs, 2.5% of the box value. $0.37
The most expensive SECE cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malacoda, Netherlord of the Burning Abyss SECE-EN0851st Edition | Ghost Rare | $25.67 | — | |
| Malacoda, Netherlord of the Burning Abyss SECE-EN085Unlimited | Ghost Rare | $19.97 | — | |
| Malacoda, Netherlord of the Burning Abyss SECE-EN085Unlimited | Secret Rare | $8.75 | — | |
| Nekroz of Gungnir SECE-EN0441st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $8.64 | — | |
| Malacoda, Netherlord of the Burning Abyss SECE-EN0851st Edition | Secret Rare | $8.63 | — | |
| Stellarknight Constellar Diamond SECE-EN0511st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $8.54 | — | |
| Stellarknight Constellar Diamond SECE-EN051Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $8.18 | — | |
| Nekroz of Gungnir SECE-EN044Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $7.44 | — | |
| Infernoid Onuncu SECE-EN0191st Edition | Ultimate Rare | $6.85 | — | |
| Infernoid Onuncu SECE-EN019Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $5.72 | — | |
| Nephe Shaddoll Fusion SECE-EN0591st Edition | Secret Rare | $5.71 | — | |
| Metaphys Horus SECE-EN049Unlimited | Ultimate Rare | $4.92 | — |
SECE booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Secrets of Eternity Booster Box [1st Edition]$40.15Cardmarket, converted to dollars
Booster pack Secrets of Eternity Booster Pack [1st Edition]$3.49TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2010-2015 core booster: 8 commons and 1 rare per pack, with a foil in some packs. Konami ratios: Super 1 in 5 packs, Ultra 1 in 12, Secret 1 in 23 and Ghost 1 in 288. Ultimate Rares have no published rate: they don't count.
Pull rate sources: web.archive.org (opens in a new tab) · yugipedia.com (opens in a new tab)
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