Is a booster box of THSF worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a THSF box would get you $67.40, 20% of the $332 it costs. A typical box gives $65.46 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
THSF pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secrets | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $50.34 | 54% |
| Super Rare | 40 | 96 (96–96) | 1 in 10 packs | $42.72 | 46% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Nekroz of Brionac (THSF-EN014): 1 in 20 packs, 22% of the box value. $17.13
Nekroz of Valkyrus (THSF-EN017): 1 in 20 packs, 11% of the box value. $8.51
Nekroz of Trishula (THSF-EN015): 1 in 20 packs, 6.6% of the box value. $5.09
Soul Release (THSF-EN048): 1 in 10 packs, 4.7% of the box value. $1.82
Burial from a Different Dimension (THSF-EN051): 1 in 10 packs, 4.2% of the box value. $1.61
Manju of the Ten Thousand Hands (THSF-EN033): 1 in 10 packs, 3.9% of the box value. $1.53
The most expensive THSF cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nekroz of Brionac THSF-EN0141st Edition | Secret Rare | $17.13 | €15.46 | |
| Nekroz of Brionac THSF-EN014Unlimited | Secret Rare | $12.12 | €15.46 | |
| Nekroz of Trishula THSF-EN0151st Edition | Secret Rare | $5.09 | €4.88 | |
| Nekroz of Trishula THSF-EN015Unlimited | Secret Rare | $2.42 | €4.88 | |
| Nekroz of Valkyrus THSF-EN0171st Edition | Secret Rare | $8.51 | €4.62 | |
| Nekroz of Valkyrus THSF-EN017Unlimited | Secret Rare | $4.15 | €4.62 | |
| Spiritual Beast Cannahawk THSF-EN0271st Edition | Super Rare | $0.52 | €2.13 | |
| Spiritual Beast Cannahawk THSF-EN027Unlimited | Super Rare | $0.52 | €2.13 | |
| Mayosenju Daibak THSF-EN0011st Edition | Secret Rare | $2.24 | €2.00 | |
| Mayosenju Daibak THSF-EN001Unlimited | Secret Rare | $1.77 | €2.00 | |
| Soul Release THSF-EN0481st Edition | Super Rare | $1.82 | €1.85 | |
| Soul Release THSF-EN048Unlimited | Super Rare | $1.98 | €1.85 |
THSF booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box The Secret Forces - Booster Box$332Cardmarket, converted to dollars
Booster pack The Secret Forces - Booster Pack$4.50TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
All-foil 5-card set: 4 Super Rares and 1 Secret Rare per pack (Konami).
Pull rate sources: yugioh-card.com (opens in a new tab) · yugioh-card.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.
Make a The Secret Forces binder Open it in the Kolekto Market