Is a booster box of TDIL worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a TDIL box would get you $95.49, 24% of the $390 it costs. A typical box gives $94.32 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).
TDIL pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 48 | 168 (168–168) | 1 in 7 packs | $79.91 | 60% |
| Super Rare | 14 | 18 (18–18) | 1 in 19 packs | $31.81 | 24% |
| Ultra Rare | 10 | 4.0 (4.0–4.0) | 1 in 60 packs | $9.04 | 6.7% |
| Secrets | 8 | 2.0 (2.0–2.0) | 1 in 96 packs | $7.61 | 5.7% |
| Rare | 20 | 24 (24–24) | 1 in 20 packs | $5.89 | 4.4% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Card of the Soul (TDIL-EN068): 1 in 7 packs, 25% of the box value. $9.50
Magician's Rod (TDIL-EN019): 1 in 19 packs, 11% of the box value. $11.23
Toon Dark Magician (TDIL-EN032): 1 in 19 packs, 7.7% of the box value. $7.99
Revolving Switchyard (TDIL-EN092): 1 in 7 packs, 4.4% of the box value. $1.67
Fairy Tail - Snow (TDIL-EN042): 1 in 7 packs, 2.8% of the box value. $1.08
Subterror Behemoth Umastryx (TDIL-EN083): 1 in 60 packs, 2.6% of the box value. $8.82
The most expensive TDIL cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Magician's Rod TDIL-EN0191st Edition | Super Rare | $11.23 | — |
|
Card of the Soul TDIL-EN0681st Edition | Common | $9.50 | €7.63 |
|
Card of the Soul TDIL-EN068Unlimited | Common | $8.07 | €7.63 |
 |
SPYRAL GEAR - Big Red TDIL-ENSE4Limited Edition | Super Rare | $6.92 | — |
|
Subterror Behemoth Umastryx TDIL-EN0831st Edition | Ultra Rare | $8.82 | €5.61 |
 |
Subterror Nemesis Warrior TDIL-ENSE3Limited Edition | Super Rare | $5.55 | — |
 |
The Hidden City TDIL-EN0851st Edition | Secret Rare | $5.71 | €4.89 |
|
The Hidden City TDIL-EN085Unlimited | Secret Rare | $4.99 | €4.89 |
 |
Magician Navigation TDIL-EN0711st Edition | Secret Rare | $5.13 | — |
|
Toon Dark Magician TDIL-EN0321st Edition | Super Rare | $7.99 | €4.55 |
|
Toon Dark Magician TDIL-EN032Unlimited | Super Rare | $10.21 | €4.55 |
 |
Tyrant Red Dragon Archfiend TDIL-EN0501st Edition | Ultra Rare | $7.30 | €3.78 |
TDIL booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box The Dark Illusion Booster Box$390TCGplayer market price
Booster pack The Dark Illusion Booster Pack$10.95TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
2016-2020 core booster: 7 commons, 1 rare and 1 foil per pack; per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average (Konami, 2015). Starlight Rares (Rising Rampage, Chaos Impact and Ignition Assault) have no published rate: they don't count. The catalog lumps 1st Edition and Unlimited cards together.
Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
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