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Yu-Gi-Oh! · Core boosters

SHVI Shining Victories

Released 6 May 2016 · 205 cards · 24 packs per box

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Shining Victories - Booster Box [1st Edition]

Is a booster box of SHVI worth opening?

Box price$16824 loose packs
Expected value$87.33
If you sell the cards$42.57With a 5% fee and leaving out cards under $0.50
A typical box$41.65The median of 10,000 simulated boxes
You get your money back0.0%Almost never

On average, no: selling the cards from a SHVI box would get you $42.57, 25% of the $168 it costs. A typical box gives $41.65 and only 0.0% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.

How reliable the rates are: good (several sources that agree).

SHVI pull rates

How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.

RarityCardsPer boxOne specificAddsShare
Common 48 168 (168–168) 1 in 7 packs $42.60 49%
Super Rare 14 18 (18–18) 1 in 19 packs $14.97 17%
Secrets 8 2.0 (2.0–2.0) 1 in 96 packs $14.05 16%
Rare 20 24 (24–24) 1 in 20 packs $8.51 9.7%
Ultra Rare 10 4.0 (4.0–4.0) 1 in 60 packs $7.21 8.3%

The cards that carry the box

What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.

The most expensive SHVI cards

Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.

CardRarityTCGplayerCardmarket
Blue-Eyes Spirit Dragon SHVI-EN0521st Edition Secret Rare $19.56 €8.22
Blue-Eyes Spirit Dragon SHVI-EN052Unlimited Secret Rare $12.35 €8.22
Stardust Sifr Divine Dragon SHVI-EN0961st Edition Ultra Rare $5.68 €7.52
Stardust Sifr Divine Dragon SHVI-EN096Unlimited Ultra Rare $4.76 €7.52
Blue-Eyes Twin Burst Dragon SHVI-EN0991st Edition Secret Rare $6.83 €5.08
Blue-Eyes Twin Burst Dragon SHVI-EN099Unlimited Secret Rare $5.09 €5.08
Lunalight Panther Dancer SHVI-EN0471st Edition Ultra Rare $4.37 €3.94
Lunalight Panther Dancer SHVI-EN047Unlimited Ultra Rare $3.41 €3.94
Crystal Wing Synchro Dragon SHVI-EN0491st Edition Secret Rare $7.58 €3.63
Crystal Wing Synchro Dragon SHVI-EN049Unlimited Secret Rare $4.92 €3.63
Amorphage Sloth SHVI-EN0301st Edition Secret Rare $5.34 €3.49
Amorphage Sloth SHVI-EN030Unlimited Secret Rare $3.61 €3.49

SHVI booster box price over the last year

Loading the price history…

TCGplayer market price, in dollars.

Sealed product

Where the numbers come from

The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.

2016-2020 core booster: 7 commons, 1 rare and 1 foil per pack; per 24-pack box, 18 Super, 4 Ultra and 2 Secret Rares on average (Konami, 2015). Starlight Rares (Rising Rampage, Chaos Impact and Ignition Assault) have no published rate: they don't count. The catalog lumps 1st Edition and Unlimited cards together.

Pull rate sources: ygorganization.com (opens in a new tab)

Open it in the Kolekto Market

Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.

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