Is a booster box of FB08 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a FB08 box would get you $190, 74% of the $258 it costs. A typical box gives $174 and only 8.8% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: low (the game's generic rates: this set has no estimates of its own).
FB08 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncommon | 30 | 111 (109–113) | 1 in 7 packs | $89.80 | 38% |
| Alternate Art ★ | 25 | 1.7 (1.5–1.7) | 1 in 359 packs | $52.95 | 23% |
| Secret Rare | 2 | 0.67 (0.50–1.0) | 1 in 72 packs | $23.64 | 10% |
| SR | 15 | 7.0 (5.0–8.0) | 1 in 51 packs | $20.41 | 8.7% |
| Common | 40 | 148 (145–151) | 1 in 7 packs | $17.24 | 7.3% |
| Secret Rare ★ | 2 | 0.17 (0.17–0.50) | 1 in 282 packs | $10.97 | 4.7% |
| Super Alternate Art | 1 | 0.008 (0.008–0.083) | 1 in 2,892 packs | $8.33 | 3.5% |
| Leader ★ | 5 | 0.17 (0.17–0.33) | 1 in 706 packs | $8.29 | 3.5% |
| Rare | 30 | 15 (13–17) | 1 in 48 packs | $2.63 | 1.1% |
| Leader | 5 | 5.0 (4.0–6.0) | 1 in 24 packs | $1.16 | 0.5% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Son Goten (FB08-008): 1 in 6 packs, 25% of the box value. $15.84
Broly (FB08-088): 1 in 6 packs, 6.5% of the box value. $4.16
Broly (FB08-122): 1 in 72 packs, 6.3% of the box value. $44.25
Son Goten (FB08-121): 1 in 72 packs, 3.7% of the box value. $26.33
Son Goten (FB08-121): 1 in 2,892 packs, 3.5% of the box value. $1,004
Son Goku (FB08-007): 1 in 51 packs, 3.4% of the box value. $17.16
The most expensive FB08 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Son Goten FB08-121Super Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $1,004 | €977 | |
| Broly FB08-073Alternate Art | Leader | $88.46 | €100 | |
| Son Gohan : Childhood FB08-106Alternate Art | Super Rare | $98.36 | €91.06 | |
| Broly FB08-122Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $86.81 | €87.98 | |
| Son Gohan : Adolescence FB08-001Alternate Art | Leader | $65.64 | €64.63 | |
| Son Goku Jr. FB08-102Alternate Art | Rare | $33.21 | €61.60 | |
| Broly FB08-088Alternate Art | Uncommon | $105 | €58.98 | |
| Kakarot FB08-076Alternate Art | Rare | $77.14 | €52.91 | |
| Turles FB08-049Alternate Art | Leader | $35.43 | €49.79 | |
| Son Gohan : Youth FB08-056Alternate Art | Rare | $43.08 | €47.65 | |
| Son Goten FB08-121Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $42.28 | €41.67 | |
| Son Goku FB08-007Alternate Art | Super Rare | $39.65 | €38.00 |
FB08 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Saiyan's Pride Booster Box$258TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Saiyan's Pride Booster Pack$11.73TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Bandai publishes no Fusion World odds. Estimate: Japanese press figures (gamepedia and torecamap, with no stated sample) converted to the English box, which holds twice the cards (12-card packs against 6). The Super Alt-Art is the most uncertain figure: between 1 in 120 boxes (Japanese press, with a question mark) and 1 per 12-box case (TCGTalk, unmeasured).
Pull rate sources: dbs-cardgame.com (opens in a new tab) · premium.gamepedia.jp (opens in a new tab) · premium.gamepedia.jp (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.