Is a booster box of ARI worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a ARI box would get you $45.67, 31% of the $148 it costs. A typical box gives $14.79 and only 6.9% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
ARI pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanted | 18 | 0.25 (0.22–0.33) | 1 in 1,728 packs | $33.10 | 43% |
| Common | 72 | 144 (144–144) | 1 in 12 packs | $9.78 | 13% |
| Uncommon | 54 | 72 (72–72) | 1 in 18 packs | $6.76 | 8.9% |
| Legendary | 12 | 4.5 (3.0–6.0) | 1 in 64 packs | $6.22 | 8.1% |
| Rare | 48 | 34 (30–38) | 1 in 34 packs | $6.02 | 7.9% |
| Foil Legendary | 12 | 0.48 (0.30–0.60) | 1 in 600 packs | $3.38 | 4.4% |
| Foil Common | 72 | 13 (12–15) | 1 in 131 packs | $2.79 | 3.7% |
| Foil Uncommon | 54 | 6.0 (5.0–7.0) | 1 in 216 packs | $2.60 | 3.4% |
| Foil Rare | 48 | 3.0 (2.4–3.4) | 1 in 384 packs | $2.26 | 3.0% |
| Super Rare | 18 | 10 (7.0–12) | 1 in 43 packs | $2.08 | 2.7% |
| Foil Super Rare | 18 | 1.1 (0.80–1.2) | 1 in 393 packs | $1.33 | 1.7% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Mickey Mouse - Inspirational Warrior (ARI-221): 1 in 1,728 packs, 8.1% of the box value. $444
All Is Found (ARI-220): 1 in 1,728 packs, 5.4% of the box value. $297
Aurora - Waking Beauty (ARI-205): 1 in 1,728 packs, 4.9% of the box value. $268
Donald Duck - Flustered Sorcerer (ARI-209): 1 in 1,728 packs, 3.3% of the box value. $179
Belle - Mechanic Extraordinaire (ARI-217): 1 in 1,728 packs, 3.1% of the box value. $173
Tamatoa - Happy as a Clam (ARI-219): 1 in 1,728 packs, 2.3% of the box value. $129
The most expensive ARI cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
All Is Found ARI-220Foil | Enchanted | $297 | €392 |
|
Mickey Mouse - Inspirational Warrior ARI-221Foil | Enchanted | $444 | €312 |
 |
Jafar - Newly Crowned ARI-210Foil | Enchanted | $99.45 | €238 |
|
Aurora - Waking Beauty ARI-205Foil | Enchanted | $268 | €201 |
|
Donald Duck - Flustered Sorcerer ARI-209Foil | Enchanted | $179 | €134 |
|
Tamatoa - Happy as a Clam ARI-219Foil | Enchanted | $129 | €103 |
 |
Show Me More! ARI-211Foil | Enchanted | $76.78 | €77.19 |
|
Belle - Mechanic Extraordinaire ARI-217Foil | Enchanted | $173 | €74.38 |
 |
Tramp - Enterprising Dog ARI-212Foil | Enchanted | $105 | €70.33 |
 |
Bolt - Superdog ARI-207Foil | Enchanted | $90.37 | €64.51 |
 |
Mad Hatter - Unruly Eccentric ARI-213Foil | Enchanted | $125 | €63.02 |
 |
Mirabel Madrigal - Musically Talented ARI-206Foil | Enchanted | $73.16 | €58.94 |
ARI booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Disney Lorcana: Archazia's Island Booster Box$148TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Disney Lorcana: Archazia's Island Booster Pack$6.85TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Pack of 12 cards (6 commons, 3 uncommons, 2 rare-or-better and 1 foil of any rarity). Ravensburger publishes no odds: the split of the rare slot (rare, super rare or legendary) and of the foil comes from community estimates, with their range. Enchanted: between 1 in 72 and 1 in 108 packs.
Pull rate sources: lorcanaplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · cardgamer.com (opens in a new tab) · lorcana-pack-simulator.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.
Make a Archazia's Island binder Open it in the Kolekto Market