Is a booster box of ROJ worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a ROJ box would get you $55.49, 36% of the $156 it costs. A typical box gives $15.84 and only 10% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
ROJ pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enchanted | 18 | 0.25 (0.22–0.33) | 1 in 1,728 packs | $42.23 | 49% |
| Common | 72 | 144 (144–144) | 1 in 12 packs | $9.04 | 10% |
| Rare | 48 | 34 (30–38) | 1 in 34 packs | $7.15 | 8.2% |
| Legendary | 12 | 4.5 (3.0–6.0) | 1 in 64 packs | $6.28 | 7.2% |
| Uncommon | 54 | 72 (72–72) | 1 in 18 packs | $6.00 | 6.9% |
| Foil Legendary | 12 | 0.48 (0.30–0.60) | 1 in 600 packs | $3.38 | 3.9% |
| Foil Rare | 48 | 3.0 (2.4–3.4) | 1 in 384 packs | $3.02 | 3.5% |
| Foil Common | 72 | 13 (12–15) | 1 in 131 packs | $3.00 | 3.5% |
| Foil Uncommon | 54 | 6.0 (5.0–7.0) | 1 in 216 packs | $2.49 | 2.9% |
| Super Rare | 18 | 10 (7.0–12) | 1 in 43 packs | $2.46 | 2.8% |
| Foil Super Rare | 18 | 1.1 (0.80–1.2) | 1 in 393 packs | $1.63 | 1.9% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Stitch - Experiment 626 (ROJ-220): 1 in 1,728 packs, 7.6% of the box value. $472
It Means No Worries (ROJ-208): 1 in 1,728 packs, 5.7% of the box value. $356
Into the Unknown (ROJ-213): 1 in 1,728 packs, 5.3% of the box value. $330
Rapunzel - High Climber (ROJ-214): 1 in 1,728 packs, 5.0% of the box value. $309
Bambi - Little Prince (ROJ-209): 1 in 1,728 packs, 3.9% of the box value. $244
Jasmine - Steady Strategist (ROJ-221): 1 in 1,728 packs, 3.0% of the box value. $185
The most expensive ROJ cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stitch - Experiment 626 ROJ-220Foil | Enchanted | $472 | €414 | |
| It Means No Worries ROJ-208Foil | Enchanted | $356 | €347 | |
| Captain Hook - The Pirate King ROJ-215Foil | Enchanted | $110 | €274 | |
| Rapunzel - High Climber ROJ-214Foil | Enchanted | $309 | €200 | |
| Bambi - Little Prince ROJ-209Foil | Enchanted | $244 | €191 | |
| Jasmine - Steady Strategist ROJ-221Foil | Enchanted | $185 | €140 | |
| Into the Unknown ROJ-213Foil | Enchanted | $330 | €138 | |
| Perdita - Determined Mother ROJ-207Foil | Enchanted | $139 | €136 | |
| Lady - Decisive Dog ROJ-205Foil | Enchanted | $165 | €105 | |
| Mushu - Your Worst Nightmare ROJ-218Foil | Enchanted | $119 | €104 | |
| Lilo - Causing an Uproar ROJ-217Foil | Enchanted | $115 | €102 | |
| Kuzco - Impulsive Llama ROJ-210Foil | Enchanted | $125 | €91.81 |
ROJ booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Disney Lorcana: Reign of Jafar Booster Box$156TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Disney Lorcana: Reign of Jafar Booster Pack$7.94TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Pack of 12 cards (6 commons, 3 uncommons, 2 rare-or-better and 1 foil of any rarity). Ravensburger publishes no odds: the split of the rare slot (rare, super rare or legendary) and of the foil comes from community estimates, with their range. Enchanted: between 1 in 72 and 1 in 108 packs.
Pull rate sources: lorcanaplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · cardgamer.com (opens in a new tab) · lorcana-pack-simulator.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.