Is a booster box of EOE worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a EOE box would get you $125, 64% of the $196 it costs. A typical box gives $122 and only 3.4% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
EOE pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 30-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 60 | 29 (26–31) | 1 in 63 packs | $61.09 | 30% |
| Mythic | 20 | 4.7 (3.9–5.4) | 1 in 129 packs | $47.68 | 24% |
| Common | 91 | 218 (207–225) | 1 in 13 packs | $37.33 | 18% |
| Uncommon | 100 | 101 (96–105) | 1 in 30 packs | $27.98 | 14% |
| Special treatments | 40 | 1.8 (0.90–3.0) | 1 in 667 packs | $13.04 | 6.4% |
| Foil common | 91 | 21 (19–23) | 1 in 130 packs | $4.83 | 2.4% |
| Foil rare | 60 | 2.0 (1.5–2.4) | 1 in 908 packs | $4.76 | 2.3% |
| Foil mythic | 20 | 0.39 (0.27–0.54) | 1 in 1,531 packs | $4.23 | 2.1% |
| Foil uncommon | 100 | 6.3 (5.1–7.5) | 1 in 476 packs | $2.36 | 1.2% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Icetill Explorer (EOE-192): 1 in 63 packs, 5.3% of the box value. $22.71
Quantum Riddler (EOE-72): 1 in 129 packs, 4.3% of the box value. $37.63
Ouroboroid (EOE-201): 1 in 129 packs, 4.2% of the box value. $36.65
Tezzeret, Cruel Captain (EOE-2): 1 in 129 packs, 2.8% of the box value. $24.12
Exalted Sunborn (EOE-15): 1 in 129 packs, 2.7% of the box value. $23.77
Watery Grave (EOE-261): 1 in 63 packs, 2.7% of the box value. $11.63
The most expensive EOE cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Sothera, the Supervoid EOE-382Borderless · Foil | Mythic | $1,426 | €1,123 |
 |
Icetill Explorer EOE-388Inverted · Showcase · Full Art · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $395 | €250 |
 |
Starfield Vocalist EOE-385Showcase · Inverted · Full Art · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $224 | €108 |
 |
Exalted Sunborn EOE-384Inverted · Showcase · Full Art · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $283 | €104 |
 |
Tezzeret, Cruel Captain EOE-287Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $93.31 | €100 |
 |
The Endstone EOE-391Showcase · Inverted · Full Art · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $141 | €83.43 |
 |
Sothera, the Supervoid EOE-386Showcase · Inverted · Full Art · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $135 | €73.39 |
 |
Anticausal Vestige EOE-383Showcase · Inverted · Full Art · Fracture Foil · Foil | Mythic | $135 | €70.90 |
 |
Quantum Riddler EOE-305Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $56.41 | €65.37 |
 |
Icetill Explorer EOE-362Showcase · Inverted · Full Art · Foil | Mythic | $90.34 | €62.05 |
|
Quantum Riddler EOE-72Foil | Mythic | $39.94 | €57.05 |
|
Quantum Riddler EOE-305Borderless · Inverted | Mythic | $44.33 | €56.77 |
EOE booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Edge of Eternities - Play Booster Display$196TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Edge of Eternities - Play Booster Pack$7.52TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Play Booster with the same structure Wizards has published since Murders at Karlov Manor (“Collecting” articles): rare or mythic, 1 in 7 mythic; wildcard and foil estimated. To be checked against the set's own “Collecting” article. Since Aetherdrift, the Play Booster box holds 30 packs (36 before).
Pull rate sources: magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab) · magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab) · magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.
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