Is a booster box of FIN worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a FIN box would get you $175, 68% of the $258 it costs. A typical box gives $170 and only 3.3% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
FIN pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 30-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uncommon | 123 | 101 (96–105) | 1 in 37 packs | $66.02 | 26% |
| Mythic | 20 | 4.7 (3.9–5.4) | 1 in 129 packs | $55.31 | 22% |
| Common | 106 | 218 (207–225) | 1 in 15 packs | $44.30 | 17% |
| Rare | 84 | 29 (26–31) | 1 in 88 packs | $41.01 | 16% |
| Special treatments | 79 | 1.8 (0.90–3.0) | 1 in 1,317 packs | $22.31 | 8.7% |
| Foil uncommon | 127 | 6.3 (5.1–7.5) | 1 in 605 packs | $9.64 | 3.7% |
| Foil common | 114 | 21 (19–23) | 1 in 163 packs | $8.58 | 3.3% |
| Foil mythic | 22 | 0.39 (0.27–0.54) | 1 in 1,684 packs | $5.80 | 2.3% |
| Foil rare | 75 | 2.0 (1.5–2.4) | 1 in 1,135 packs | $4.45 | 1.7% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Buster Sword (FIN-255): 1 in 129 packs, 3.9% of the box value. $43.11
Vivi Ornitier (FIN-248): 1 in 129 packs, 3.0% of the box value. $32.82
Summon: Bahamut (FIN-1): 1 in 129 packs, 2.5% of the box value. $27.43
Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel (FIN-115): 1 in 129 packs, 2.3% of the box value. $25.51
Cloud, Midgar Mercenary (FIN-10): 1 in 129 packs, 1.9% of the box value. $20.82
Starting Town (FIN-289): 1 in 88 packs, 1.7% of the box value. $12.69
The most expensive FIN cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
Traveling Chocobo FIN-551fBorderless · Serialized · Foil | Mythic | — | €50,000 |
 |
Traveling Chocobo FIN-551cBorderless · Inverted · Neon Ink · Foil | Mythic | $1,970 | €1,675 |
 |
Traveling Chocobo FIN-551bBorderless · Inverted · Neon Ink · Foil | Mythic | $1,892 | €1,622 |
 |
Traveling Chocobo FIN-551dBorderless · Inverted · Neon Ink · Foil | Mythic | $1,900 | €1,600 |
 |
Traveling Chocobo FIN-551aBorderless · Inverted · Neon Ink · Foil | Mythic | $1,831 | €1,493 |
 |
Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel FIN-527Borderless · Inverted · Surge Foil · Foil | Mythic | $823 | €603 |
 |
Lightning, Army of One FIN-545Borderless · Inverted · Surge Foil · Foil | Mythic | $274 | €361 |
 |
Cloud, Midgar Mercenary FIN-520Borderless · Inverted · Surge Foil · Foil | Mythic | $368 | €346 |
 |
Vivi Ornitier FIN-570Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $223 | €182 |
 |
Vivi Ornitier FIN-321Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $184 | €176 |
 |
Sephiroth, Fabled SOLDIER // Sephiroth, One-Winged Angel FIN-317Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $168 | €173 |
 |
Buster Sword FIN-351Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $171 | €173 |
FIN booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box FINAL FANTASY - Play Booster Display$258TCGplayer market price
Booster pack FINAL FANTASY - Play Booster Pack$9.54TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Play Booster with the same structure Wizards has published since Murders at Karlov Manor (“Collecting” articles): rare or mythic, 1 in 7 mythic; wildcard and foil estimated. To be checked against the set's own “Collecting” article. Since Aetherdrift, the Play Booster box holds 30 packs (36 before).
Pull rate sources: magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab) · magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab) · magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.