Is a booster box of SPM worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a SPM box would get you $64.42, 56% of the $114 it costs. A typical box gives $44.25 and only 13% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
SPM pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 30-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 75 | 218 (207–225) | 1 in 10 packs | $40.05 | 28% |
| Mythic | 15 | 4.7 (3.9–5.4) | 1 in 97 packs | $39.63 | 28% |
| Uncommon | 55 | 101 (96–105) | 1 in 16 packs | $22.99 | 16% |
| Rare | 52 | 29 (26–31) | 1 in 55 packs | $20.07 | 14% |
| Special treatments | 31 | 1.8 (0.90–3.0) | 1 in 517 packs | $6.56 | 4.6% |
| Foil common | 75 | 21 (19–23) | 1 in 107 packs | $4.99 | 3.5% |
| Foil mythic | 15 | 0.39 (0.27–0.54) | 1 in 1,148 packs | $4.80 | 3.4% |
| Foil rare | 52 | 2.0 (1.5–2.4) | 1 in 787 packs | $1.82 | 1.3% |
| Foil uncommon | 55 | 6.3 (5.1–7.5) | 1 in 262 packs | $1.74 | 1.2% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
The Soul Stone (SPM-66): 1 in 97 packs, 17% of the box value. $78.18
Multiversal Passage (SPM-180): 1 in 55 packs, 2.4% of the box value. $6.22
Norman Osborn // Green Goblin (SPM-39): 1 in 97 packs, 2.1% of the box value. $9.88
Impostor Syndrome (SPM-34): 1 in 97 packs, 1.4% of the box value. $6.58
Anti-Venom, Horrifying Healer (SPM-1): 1 in 97 packs, 1.4% of the box value. $6.31
The most expensive SPM cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
The Soul Stone SPM-243Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $1,851 | €1,691 |
 |
Spectacular Spider-Man SPM-235Borderless · Inverted · Textured Foil · Foil | Rare | $492 | €437 |
 |
Spectacular Spider-Man SPM-236Borderless · Inverted · Textured Foil · Foil | Rare | $357 | €376 |
 |
Spectacular Spider-Man SPM-237Borderless · Inverted · Textured Foil · Foil | Rare | $217 | €287 |
 |
Spectacular Spider-Man SPM-239Borderless · Inverted · Textured Foil · Foil | Rare | $251 | €279 |
 |
Spectacular Spider-Man SPM-238Borderless · Inverted · Textured Foil · Foil | Rare | $250 | €246 |
 |
Spectacular Spider-Man SPM-241Borderless · Inverted · Textured Foil · Foil | Rare | $198 | €226 |
 |
Spectacular Spider-Man SPM-240Borderless · Inverted · Textured Foil · Foil | Rare | $264 | €188 |
 |
Eddie Brock // Venom, Lethal Protector SPM-233Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $142 | €128 |
|
The Soul Stone SPM-66Foil | Mythic | $115 | €119 |
|
The Soul Stone SPM-66Normal | Mythic | $78.18 | €79.18 |
 |
Peter Parker // Amazing Spider-Man SPM-232Borderless · Inverted · Foil | Mythic | $98.30 | €72.35 |
SPM booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Marvel's Spider-Man - Play Booster Display$114TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Marvel's Spider-Man - Play Booster Pack$5.14TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Play Booster with the same structure Wizards has published since Murders at Karlov Manor (“Collecting” articles): rare or mythic, 1 in 7 mythic; wildcard and foil estimated. To be checked against the set's own “Collecting” article. Since Aetherdrift, the Play Booster box holds 30 packs (36 before).
Pull rate sources: magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab) · magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab) · magic.wizards.com (opens in a new tab)
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