Is a booster box of OP01 worth opening?
On average, no: selling the cards from a OP01 box would get you $367, 28% of the $1,332 it costs. A typical box gives $194 and only 2.9% of boxes get your money back. If you're after a specific card, buying it as a single is usually cheaper.
How reliable the rates are: fair (community estimate).
OP01 pull rates
How many cards of each rarity group come in a 24-pack box, how many packs it takes to pull one specific card of the group and how much the group adds to the box value.
| Rarity | Cards | Per box | One specific | Adds | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AA | 16 | 1.8 (1.3–2.2) | 1 in 213 packs | $145 | 34% |
| Leader AA | 8 | 0.33 (0.20–0.42) | 1 in 582 packs | $113 | 27% |
| Manga | 1 | 0.021 (0.014–0.035) | 1 in 1,143 packs | $83.97 | 20% |
| Common | 45 | 165 (155–175) | 1 in 7 packs | $21.49 | 5.1% |
| Uncommon | 30 | 70 (60–75) | 1 in 10 packs | $17.90 | 4.2% |
| Rare | 26 | 36 (26–40) | 1 in 17 packs | $14.94 | 3.5% |
| SR | 10 | 7.0 (5.0–8.0) | 1 in 34 packs | $8.74 | 2.1% |
| SEC AA | 2 | 0.10 (0.060–0.17) | 1 in 480 packs | $8.59 | 2.0% |
| Leader | 8 | 5.0 (3.0–8.0) | 1 in 38 packs | $6.33 | 1.5% |
| SEC | 2 | 0.50 (0.33–0.75) | 1 in 96 packs | $2.90 | 0.7% |
The cards that carry the box
What weighs most in the expected value: expensive cards that are hard to pull.
Shanks (OP01-120): 1 in 1,143 packs, 20% of the box value. $3,999
Nami (OP01-016): 1 in 213 packs, 12% of the box value. $461
Monkey.D.Luffy (OP01-003): 1 in 582 packs, 10% of the box value. $1,046
Roronoa Zoro (OP01-001): 1 in 582 packs, 6.2% of the box value. $639
Roronoa Zoro (OP01-025): 1 in 213 packs, 6.0% of the box value. $225
Monkey.D.Luffy (OP01-024): 1 in 213 packs, 5.9% of the box value. $220
The most expensive OP01 cards
Their version and today's TCGplayer and Cardmarket price.
| Card | Rarity | TCGplayer | Cardmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Shanks OP01-120Parallel · Manga · Alternate Art | Secret Rare | $3,999 | €3,696 |
|
Monkey.D.Luffy OP01-003Parallel | Leader | $1,046 | €1,440 |
|
Roronoa Zoro OP01-001Parallel | Leader | $639 | €620 |
 |
Trafalgar Law OP01-002Parallel | Leader | $458 | €431 |
|
Nami OP01-016Parallel | Rare | $461 | €419 |
 |
Donquixote Doflamingo OP01-060Parallel | Leader | $194 | €328 |
|
Roronoa Zoro OP01-025Parallel | Super Rare | $225 | €205 |
|
Monkey.D.Luffy OP01-024Parallel | Super Rare | $220 | €149 |
 |
Kaido OP01-061Parallel | Leader | $121 | €148 |
 |
Crocodile OP01-062Parallel | Leader | $122 | €141 |
 |
Boa Hancock OP01-078Parallel | Super Rare | $115 | €102 |
 |
Yamato OP01-121Parallel | Secret Rare | $97.91 | €99.47 |
OP01 booster box price over the last year
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Sealed product
Booster box Romance Dawn - Booster Box (Wave 2 - White)$1,332TCGplayer market price
Booster pack Romance Dawn - Booster Pack$66.19TCGplayer market price
Where the numbers come from
The expected value adds up, for each rarity group, the copies in a box times the average price of its cards (the English card, with its TCGplayer price or, if there isn't one, Cardmarket's converted). The simulation opens 10,000 boxes with the same rates.
Generic community estimate for English boxes, with no OP01-specific count; the parallel SEC is considered rarer (~1 in 10 boxes). Box toppers aren't included in the calculation.
Pull rate sources: en.onepiece-cardgame.com (opens in a new tab) · onepiece.app (opens in a new tab) · tcgplayer.com (opens in a new tab) · archivedrops.com (opens in a new tab)
Open it in the Kolekto Market
Tweak the rates, choose between the box and loose packs and see how 10,000 simulated boxes turn out.